Rivered Set and value bet.

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ph_il

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Value betting is something I have a problem with because I can never figure out how much I should bet out or raise to extract as much as I can from my opponent(s).

Also, was my overall play bad and did I get lucky on the river? I broke down my thought process. Also, am I over analyzing my hands and possibly giving my opponent too much credit for a .01/.02 table?

pokerstars Game #15781417222: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2008/03/06 - 12:22:51 (ET)
Table 'Hildburg' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: duchu14 ($2.13 in chips)
Seat 2: j0nNy_CaSh ($2.86 in chips)
Seat 3: TRM_SHRiMP ($1.88 in chips)
Seat 4: redman0308 ($1.80 in chips)
Seat 5: M.Matthéy ($4.88 in chips)
Seat 6: perlitsystem ($2.68 in chips)
j0nNy_CaSh: posts small blind $0.01
TRM_SHRiMP: posts big blind $0.02
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to TRM_SHRiMP [7h 7s]
redman0308: calls $0.02
M.Matthéy: folds
perlitsystem: folds
duchu14: folds
j0nNy_CaSh: raises $0.04 to $0.06
[Ive seen him raise in the SB with A10, K10, K9s, mid suited connectors, etc. Raises a lot PF, but not too loose of a player and is capable of folding to a PFRR.]
TRM_SHRiMP: raises $0.10 to $0.16
[Had option to set mine, but I put J_C on a buy with his SB raise and tried to take it down here while representing a big hand. I dont do this often, but I'll mix it up against a player like J_C who tends to raise a lot PF.]
redman0308: folds
j0nNy_CaSh: calls $0.10
[Had he reraisd, I might've just called or folded depending. I dont put him on a big hand with his call here.]
*** FLOP *** [Qd 6s 4c]
j0nNy_CaSh: bets $0.20
[About 3/4s pot bet, I notice he likes to c-bet a lot if he did or didnt hit. I dont put J_C on much; AK-A10s reraises PF. He might reraise with KQ and def. does with big pairs AA-JJ, so its safe to eliminate those. He might have Q10 type hand, 88-99 is possible, 1010 might just call or reraise, or he could be holding smaller pair. I dont think he has much.]
TRM_SHRiMP: calls $0.20
[Im almost confident I have him beat, but not 100% I could raise here if I think I have the best hand, but Im if he reraises me, Im in a predicament. I call to see what he does on the turn and to try and take it down on a later street.]
*** TURN *** [Qd 6s 4c] 2♦
j0nNy_CaSh: bets $0.24
[Very small bet. Now, Im sure he doesnt hold a Q or if he does, its with a weak kicker. Maybe 88-99. I def. dont see 35 here or 2 pair. Small bet scares me a bit. Is it for value? Possible he is sitting on a set here and looking for a reraise if he puts me on a big hand?]
TRM_SHRiMP: calls $0.24
[I just opt to call here and hope to go to showdown.]
*** RIVER *** [Qd 6s 4c 2d] 7♣
j0nNy_CaSh: bets $0.30
[Another small bet. Im confident J_C isnt sitting on a straight or 2 pair. Either pair over 77, set, or a weak Q is what I put him on at this point. Not getting a lot of value on his river bet if is holding a set, so weak Q or PP is most likely.]
TRM_SHRiMP: ???
 
Last edited:
pantin007

pantin007

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if he has been bluffing he is certainly not going to call any raise u make, if u push ur giving him about 3 to 1 odds on his money to call and this is probably good enuff odds for him to call with pair of Q or something like that
i elect to push
 
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ph_il

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LOL. I forgot to add the possibility of him bluffing...
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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If he's bluffing you can't raise small enough to get him to call, so you might as well go all-in and hope he has a hand worth looking you up with.
 
SavagePenguin

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So there's close to $1.50 in the pot, and you have $1.28 left?

So basically you can re-raise him less than $1 for a $2.78 pot.
Yeah, I'd shove. He'll most likely fold, but he might thing you're just trying to buy it at the end as the 7 isn't likely to have helped you.

I wouldn't be surprised if he called and showed pocket 8's or something like that.
 
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