£200 NLHE Full Ring: Middle set on wet dynamic flop

Q

quant1986

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Live £1/1 game, usual weekend friendly soft game

LJ (Hero) £150 - new to the table, open first hand in 2 orbit
BTN (V2) : £100 - no particular read
Straddle (V1): £200 - loose open reg, post flop straight-forward , probably winning player at this stake

V1 straddled to £2, LJ opened to £6 with TT♦ ,only BTN called and straddle called.

Flop (£18, 3 players)
JT9

V1 checked, Hero checked and V2 checked.

Turn (£18, 3 players)
6

V1 bet £12, Hero called and V2 folded.

River (£42, 3 players)
3

V1 bet £12, Hero called.

My thoughts:
I think I did too much pot control on this hand and should have bet flop,
Even facing flopped straight, my hand is a small underdog.

As played, I am not sure if I should raise the river for value
The bluff combos I may have are AKx, AQx.

What do you think?
 
ZaphodB

ZaphodB

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Bet flop for sure. It’s not a disaster if you get it in against a flopped straight and there are tons of hands paying you to draw or with worst made hands.
 
PaxMundi

PaxMundi

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Yep absolutely bet the flop here the board is far to wet to give free cards away.And ye i think your right you can raise/fold the river for value.
 
ZaphodB

ZaphodB

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Yep absolutely bet the flop here the board is far to wet to give free cards away.And ye i think your right you can raise/fold the river for value.


Raise/fold for value? What worse hand calls here?
 
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fundiver199

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As played I think, its best to just call down here. His sizing is small and look like a blocker bet, but if we raise the river, we are essentially saying, that we have a slowplayed flush, and probably even a very good flush. So we are almost over representing our hand. The time to get aggressive was earlier in the hand, either by betting the flop or as played even by raising the turn. At that point we still have equity when behind, and we can still get value from 1 card flush draws, so raising the turn is very different from raising the river.
 
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quant1986

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I think against general low stakes rec population who calls too much, river raise fold perhaps is a better line although villian may throw away his J8o in this exact hand.

I lost value, at this stack depth, by not betting flop or raising turn/river.
 
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feisas7991

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Not live specialist, but id open larger pre. Apart from obvious value bet (should bet around 70%+ bet size imo) I'd raise the river, his bet is small enough and pretty much straight forward protection bet with KJ QJ J8 imo, and obviously fold fold against further action after 3bet.
 
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