No Gamble, No Future. WPT Cash of the Titans - Hand Analysis

AKQ

AKQ

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
May 27, 2007
Total posts
9,139
Awards
9
Chips
225
Game
Hold'em
Game Format
No Limit
Stakes
$500/$1000
Table Format
Full (8-10 seats)
VP$IP
35
PFR
3
AF
3
Currency
$
Villain Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 35/3/3
  • Lets review

    https://www.worldpokertour.com/news/patrik-antonius-eric-persson-battle-in-historic-1-9-million-pot/

  • Preflop
    3 ways


    56eb4fd4fe330f521a4e903150264b38.png


    563cb653df8c3fee39242eb68337ef5a.png


    e55bdb9332c8a368b88372f9c479744f.png


    Eric Perssons decides on a check raise
    Perssons is a white magic player,
    but from a GTO solver viewpoint lets see what part of Patriks Range has fold equity
    3 bets preflop ,
    bets 40k on flop and can raise the reraise of 100k to 250k
    88+ AA
    AKs
    AQs , (solver3 bets at a higher frequency than AKs)
    A5s KQs (low frequency GTO 3 bets preflop)

    So on this board of 3h 3c 8h his AK/q/5 /kqs would cbet
    but could only continue reraising with 1/4th of his suited ace K/q/5/kqs combos
    3/4th would be of the wrong suit ie. spades clubs diamonds
    & higher pairs like AA KK QQ may also 3bet this flop against lags

    So Eric Perssons check raise got information and had potential to make
    3/4 AK combos to fold
    3/4 aq combos to fold
    3/4 KQs to fold
    6 combos of 99 , 1010, JJ, QQ, KK, AA for a total of 36 combos
    9 combos with fold equity
    39 combos of Value(could be 27 if he would fold 10's & jacks)
    4:1 of Patriks range continues

    Knowing what we know now Perssons had an easy fold even if he was against 10's
    but not everything is so cut and dry

    Modern GTO often doesn't try to 3 bet a flush draw into an opponent thats not going anywhere
    It aims to realize its equity and then get paid
    So Patrick knew Perssons didn't have anything preflop
    , thats why he went with the semi bluff

    Persons put him on AK and reraised him but left the flop with the afterthought that he has Aces Kings or Queens as 6/8 AK combos fold to the check raise
    The combos pool leadsus to an interesting range for Patrik ,weighted towards KK QQ JJ 1010
    4 times 6= 24 combos of high pairs
    aks=1 combo
    AQs= 0 true combos(becuase the queen is in Erics hand)


    5e22948cbe69bf319f22c1c3821dcfc2.png





    2059ac23fc488fcfee61a8d0413f99f4.png


    WOW!!!This Ace of spades is from Space!!!!

    Patrick bets 150k into 600k out of position

    Eric Persons goes ALL IN , 692k more for Antonius
    Patrik Antonius makes the call and takes down a record pot


    de7fdd5312c293c167b879c3a409acba.png



    Extra credit- could Eric Persson have won the pot by playing differently?
    or did he play the spot maniacly optimal?
 
Last edited:
rastapapolos

rastapapolos

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Sep 21, 2013
Total posts
441
Awards
2
DZ
Chips
62
IMO if Persson called OTT and shoved river he would have more chances to make the AK fold.
 
Titan Guides: Titan Casino bonus code - Titan Casino - Dutch - Italiano - Français - Dansk - Svevnska - Español - Deutsch - TitanCasino Deutsch Related Gambling Guides: AU Gambling - CA Gambling - UK Gambling - NZ Gambling - Online Gambling Real Money Poker - Real Money Casinos Starting Hands - Poker Hand Nicknames Rankings - Poker Hands
Top