Ok, maybe I am giving him too much credit and you're probably right that his only thought process was to bluff on the scare card. I don't have PT yet so I'm not sure of the meaning of 48/14/2.5. I also agree that the bluff move is much better done HU and he was a bit silly to try it there, even if it did work for him as far as I understood.
Folding makes sense here as there are too many ways to lose with T's. I won't argue that and I did say I don't blame BJ for folding.
Big pots like this one often create tough decisions, since many players don't give up on them easily. That's the main reason why I kind of doubted that he had the flush. It just seemed more likely that he didn't have it. That board with a $50 pot will certainly invite someone to bluff.
You make a great point when you mention dog's tiny bet that could be indicative of a draw. That, IMO, is probably the best reason to fold here. But this was not brought up before. The consensus was that Liffy has BJ beat, and while that was a possibility, it was not a given. The presence of the other player is a much better reason to fold, IMO.
So DM, I agree with everything you say except that its an easy fold. It
might be so because pot was 3-way here. I strongly doubt you would think that if it were HU though. The $20 bet was offering BJ 70 to 20
odds on this hand and you only need to be right a certain percentage of times, (about 30% if I'm figuring this correctly) if this were HU. Of course I can't assess the % of times people bluff in this spot, probably you can't either, and its only accademic since it wouldn't apply in this case.
Just some food for thought.