AA gets checkraised by Tight villain

the clêaner

the clêaner

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villain is 18/15/2.9 over 600 hands. I`m 18/13/2.6.

poker stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $50.25
BB: $113.20
UTG: $40.35
Hero (CO): $63.10
BTN: $44.65

Preflop: Hero is dealt A
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A
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(5 Players)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $2.00, BTN folds, SB calls $1.75, BB folds

Flop: ($4.50) 5
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6
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3
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(2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, SB raises to $12.00, Hero folds

Pot Size: $19.50 ($0.50 Rake)

My read on him is that he would only checkraise big draws/2pair+ here. I came up with this range (I included 77 here giving him a gutshot+overpair)

Hand 0: 41.679% 40.68% 01.00% 11678 288.00 { AcAh }
Hand 1: 58.321% 57.32% 01.00% 16456 288.00 { 77-33, As4s, As3s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 65s }


This would be his range if we include overpairs from 88-TT

Hand 0: 58.853% 57.73% 01.12% 26864 520.50 { AcAh }
Hand 1: 41.147% 40.03% 01.12% 18625 520.50 { TT-33, As4s, As3s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 65s }
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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imo, pairs up to TT should be included here. Not a bad fold, but a little nitty for me.
 
the clêaner

the clêaner

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Thanks for your reply ChuckTs. If I didn`t fold, what should my line be call and shove turn if blank hits, regardless if he bets or checks ? I`m pretty sure this type of player will lead turn with 2pair, sets or big draws.
 
P

ph_il

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Is villian the type of player that'll call a raise OOP with any of the drawing hands you mentioned or 3/6, 3/5, 5/6?

I think its very possible villian flopped a set.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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It's also very possible that villain is ch-raising with an overpair or even a draw.

I personally will stack this, but I play a much looser game in rings, and players give me much less respect for hands and so I'd be ahead by a lot more here.
 
lasvegaspokerchick

lasvegaspokerchick

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Good points all around. This is definitely a difficult decision and a lot of weight has to be placed on what types of hands this particular player would be likely to call with from the small blind. I tend to agree that the most likely starting hand would be a small pair and that would indicate that villian had flopped a set. HOWEVER, would he check a set (or two pair for that matter) into that kind of a board? That board is very scary for a set as you could easily hold two big spades or have a hand like pocket sevens yourself. For that reason alone, I might lean towards villiam having a big draw.

One thing does seem clear though. Your only choices at that point are to fold or push. If you flat call, you are opening yourself up to being bluffed off of your hand on the turn or making a bad call. Any spade on the turn gives you reason to worry, and, of course, any card 2-7 is going to look mighty scary. Hard to say what I would have done in this case, but all in all, I'd say you probably made a good lay down. Even if you weren't dominated by a set or two pair, you were probably coin flipping against a big draw.
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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i'm stacking here without a doubt. look at it from villain's perspective. it's 5 handed and you raise.. not exactly repping an overpair. then you cbet a raggy flop. villain can easily be making a play because you're unlikely to have hit this flop well. this is not to mention how often he can have 77-TT, something like A4 semibluffing the straight draw, or the flush draw.

i think the second range you used is much more appropriate, and neither range even includes bluffs. villain can easily put you on two high cards and figure his raise will fold you out the vast majority of the time (which it will). if you're folding even AA here, i think it's incredibly exploitable. sets are unlikely just purely statistically and because most players would raise smaller. plus his stats say he's almost never in this pot with two pair

i think this is a bad fold. shove
 
joosebuck

joosebuck

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combo draws like 46/45/34/67 and pairs 88-QQ can do this as well. this is too tight for me.
 
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