This is a discussion on $600 NLHE Heads-up: $ : €4 NLHE 6-max: Any possibility to win this hand? within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 21/11/2
I was sure he will bet on the Flop, so I check-raised, waiting for another spade to NOT come, but the bad
$600 NLHE Heads-up: $ : €4 NLHE 6-max: Any possibility to win this hand?
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 21/11/2
I was sure he will bet on the Flop, so I check-raised, waiting for another spade to NOT come, but the bad thing happened, what now????.
Is there any possibility to win this hand by playing it differently? What kind of PT stats I can use to make a decision if I can make a semi-bluff on the Turn successfully?
I know this hand was probably optimal against an unknown opponent. I am a new PokerTracker user, so, tell me more about analyzing opponents in this kind of situation by HUD stats. Thanks
hackmeplz is correct. You need to bet the turn. V is tight, he's only 3 betting 6% and the A of spades is on the board. What flush can he have on the turn after he 3 bets pre? KQs is borderline in his 3 bet range but it's only one combo. So we are losing to 1 combo of KQs (which is a stretch for a player this tight) and 1 combo of AA. Think of it from his perspective though. Our raise / call pre range has several more flushes and sets and big Ax with one spade. It sucks that we are OOP and if he calls the turn we should probably give up rivers when the fourth spade comes in but we may have taken it down with a strong turn bet. V has to worry about sets and flushes and facing a river jam if he calls.