$5 NLHE 6-max: River decision with top2

[dunkyhory]

Only 4 hands , thoughts on shoving the river ? I dont like pre though should be 4x and i should of bet the turn i think.


UTG: $5.24 (104.8 bb)
MP: $5.00 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.31 (106.2 bb)
BTN: $12.00 (240 bb)
SB: $5.82 (116.4 bb)
BB: $5.00 (100 bb)

SB posts $0.02, BB posts $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has J♦ A♦
UTG calls $0.05, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, UTG raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($0.87, 2 players) T♣ 3♠ J♠
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.55, UTG calls $0.55

Turn: ($1.97, 2 players) 6♦
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($1.97, 2 players) A♠
UTG bets $0.95, Hero call or shove ?

 

[Alucard]

iso bigger pre
keep betting turn. Charge the draws & weaker pairs.
Since spades+KQ get there calling down seems fine.

 

[Hujiko]

What can he have. He limped 3 Betted with what? Both you and the villain raised to low in my opinion to get folds.

Would bet turn (1/3-1/2 pot) for sure on this run out.

If we put villain on a reasonable range e.g. TT+,AK, AQ, AJs, KQs then the following hands could play that way in my opinion in the later streets:
AK 8 combos ?
AQ 8 combos (less likely to 4 bet and to raise on river) so lets make it 4 combos ?
AA 1 combo (will he slow play AA?)
TT 3 combos (will he slow play these?)
JJ 1 combo (will he sow play JJ?)
KQs 4 combos (not likely to 3 bet you) so lets make it 2 combos on average
AJs 2 combos (not likely to 3 bet you) so lets make it 1 combo on average
XX some rare bluff

Against 1 combo you split
Against 7 combos you loose (will the winning combos all check the flop and turn?)
Against 12 combos you win (all made from AK,AQ so its crucial how he plays these)

So depending if villain is going to make this play with AK you should either shove or call.

Could make a case for shoving if you have more information on the villain that he normally does not slow play and is capable of over calling a shove with AK top pair top kicker on the river, if no more information it is a difficult decision.