This is a discussion on $5 NLHE 6-max: Pair+Flush Draw facing Flop OverShove Raise! within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $5.00 (100 bb)
MP: $5.65 (113 bb)
CO (Hero): $5.27 (105 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with Q♦ J♦ 2 players fold, Hero raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, 1 fold, BB calls $0.07
Flop: ($0.38) T♦ J♣ 5♦ (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, BU folds, BB raises to $5.91 (all-in), CO (Hero) folds
Villain seems to be a Reg, but I don't really understand his shove here.
Do you think his shove can represent some semi bluffs like 8d9d,7d8d or Ad9d besides 55, even JT(I think there is no TT or JJ, probably he 3bets here with this holding)?
I think villain is either semi-bluffing with diamond and straight draw or afraid of the diamonds.
Being it's micros I would lean toward afraid of the diamonds maybe flopped a set with 10s. Could also be an overpair but villain likely would have 3-bet pre so I'm leaning towards afraid of diamonds with 10s, J10 or 55.
I think I would call(maybe not optimal) and then note what villain over-shoved on the flop with. We have a flush draw and Q outs against most of his holdings. The sets are a little worse spots for us but I don't feel like folding here.
I could even see someone getting crazy with AKdiamonds here.
Crappy spot. I'd just shake my head and fold. Hard to imagine what he has and whatever it is jamming here looks pretty awful. If he has a strong holding villain should be betting for value and actually be excited about those draws keeping you in the pot to pay him off. Maybe has a set or an overpair like AA or KK and is trying to take down pot in a panic with such a draw heavy board?
For me these type of players normally don't make big bluffs his VPIP/PFR gap makes me think hes not tight aggressive but more tight passive. They can bet aggressive when in the lead but normally will let you do the betting when they have a draw. It are only 100 hands but I would go for the more nitty line of folding here to his over-over shove.
And I think he can have TT and JJ and not 3 bet those he only has a PFR of 16% which is in 6 Max not a lot.