$5 NLHE 6-max: Pair+Flush Draw facing Flop OverShove Raise!

[Phoenix2223]

pokerstars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $5.00 (100 bb)
MP: $5.65 (113 bb)
CO (Hero): $5.27 (105 bb)
BU: $2.97 (59 bb)
SB: $7.34 (147 bb)
BB: $6.03 (121 bb)(VPIP: 26, PFR: 16, Fold to FCB: 57, Hands: 98)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with Q♦ J♦
2 players fold, Hero raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, 1 fold, BB calls $0.07

Flop: ($0.38) T♦ J♣ 5♦ (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, BU folds, BB raises to $5.91 (all-in), CO (Hero) folds

Villain seems to be a Reg, but I don't really understand his shove here.
Do you think his shove can represent some semi bluffs like 8d9d,7d8d or Ad9d besides 55, even JT(I think there is no TT or JJ, probably he 3bets here with this holding)?

 

[Lorpugo]

His play does not make any sence. Fold here and mark him as fish and take his chips later on more standard spots

 

[NHequalsFU]

I think villain is either semi-bluffing with diamond and straight draw or afraid of the diamonds.

Being it's micros I would lean toward afraid of the diamonds maybe flopped a set with 10s. Could also be an overpair but villain likely would have 3-bet pre so I'm leaning towards afraid of diamonds with 10s, J10 or 55.

I think I would call(maybe not optimal) and then note what villain over-shoved on the flop with. We have a flush draw and Q outs against most of his holdings. The sets are a little worse spots for us but I don't feel like folding here.

I could even see someone getting crazy with AKdiamonds here.

 

[GreenDaddy1]

Crappy spot. I'd just shake my head and fold. Hard to imagine what he has and whatever it is jamming here looks pretty awful. If he has a strong holding villain should be betting for value and actually be excited about those draws keeping you in the pot to pay him off. Maybe has a set or an overpair like AA or KK and is trying to take down pot in a panic with such a draw heavy board?

 

[julianjjboy]

According the VPIP and PFR number, we can defined BB is a reg. So what you think his hands almost his totally calling range.

If you make sure that he just flush draw + str8 draw, you can fold this spot easily, and mark this player is a aggresive reg. Next time play with him just passive is better.

 

[c9h13no3]

Looks like a call to me.

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
13,860 trials (Exhaustive)
board: T:diamond: J:club: 5:diamond:
QdJd 50.25% (6,950 wins, 30 ties)
55, AdKd, Kd9d, Ad9d, 9d8d, 9d7d, JT 49.75% (6,880 wins, 30 ties)

 

[Alucard]

you are folding TPGK+really good FD. So what are you calling there with?

 

[Lorpugo]

you are folding TPGK+really good FD. So what are you calling there with?

It is about odds villain shoved 5$ in 0,5 pot. If the pot was 2$ easy call

 

[Hujiko]

VPIP: 26, PFR: 16, Fold to FCB: 57, Hands: 98


For me these type of players normally don't make big bluffs his VPIP/PFR gap makes me think hes not tight aggressive but more tight passive. They can bet aggressive when in the lead but normally will let you do the betting when they have a draw. It are only 100 hands but I would go for the more nitty line of folding here to his over-over shove.


And I think he can have TT and JJ and not 3 bet those he only has a PFR of 16% which is in 6 Max not a lot.

 

[quant1986]

I think he would only have JT or 55 here and hope to get called by QQ+.
He may be just tired/lazy to think about the turn if he raised and get called