$5 NLHE 6-max: Flopped trips in a 3bet pot hand

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baudib1

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:::facepalm:::::


explain how 3-betting once gets you to 16% in any way shape or form.
how many opportunities were there?
 
Stu_Ungar

Stu_Ungar

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Im giving up.

Again its the never ending debate.

Go and ask on PT3 or something but I guarantee you this guy 3bet once prior to this hand.
 
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baudib1

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3-bet total

Description:
The percentage of times the player 3-bet (re-raised a raiser) when they had the opportunity.

Formula: (Total Times 3-bet/Total 3-bet Opportunities)*100
says nothing about 3-betting as a percentage of total PFR
 
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baudib1

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Can you just answer my simple questions for once? This is a pretty fundamental misunderstanding.

your math is totally fuzzy and frankly, insanely wrong.
 
Stu_Ungar

Stu_Ungar

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Ok ill try

Post the definition for PFR
 
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baudib1

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The percentage of times someone raises preflop.
 
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baudib1

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Here's my interpretation of his stats:

in 41 hands (it has to be 41 hands), he

has played 9 of them (22%)
raised 6 times (15%)


Of those 6 times, he 3-bet either 3 times, 4 times, 5 times or 6 times, but he cannot have 3-bet only 1 or 2 times because 1 and 2 cannot make 16% of anything, unless it was 16.7 and he was rounding down.

It would be extremely unlikely anyway, it's probably 4 times out of 25 or 3 out of 19 times.
 
Stu_Ungar

Stu_Ungar

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In fact, there is no need for me to do any of this.

Micromachine, can you reply your session in HEM or PT3 and count the number of 3bets villain makes prior to this hand. (Its 7 orbits so should not take long)
 
Stu_Ungar

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Are you going to post the definition or not?

If not I really have nothing more to add.
 
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baudib1

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what? you didn't answer a single question I asked.

Formula: (Times raised/hands dealt) * 100

please explain how 1 can be 16% of anything? (it can't)

1 in 5 times is 20%
1 in 6 times is 17%
1 in 7 times is 14%

and that would mean there was only a chance to 3-bet 5-7 times in 40 hands, which is incredibly unlikely.
 
Stu_Ungar

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We will wait for micro to physically do a count.
 
WVHillbilly

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We will wait for micro to physically do a count.
No need to do a count. Just bring up the hand in replayer and look at the 3bet number. It will show the actual numbers (in this case it will be 1/6).
 
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PotluckXXI

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FIGHT. FIGHT, FIGHT!

This is awesome

BTW whatever Pre was Post is shove, you are way ahead
 
Stu_Ungar

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No need to do a count. Just bring up the hand in replayer and look at the 3bet number. It will show the actual numbers (in this case it will be 1/6).

That will work in PT3 but I dont think it will in HEM. I dont think HEM stores the stats that were shown at the time.
 
Stu_Ungar

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Def

What we can agree on (I think ) is that this guy has raised 6 hands.

As a 3bet is also a PFR that 6 includes his 3bets.

16% of 6 is too close to 1 for him to have 3bet any other amount

Remembering that the 16% the 15% and possibly the 40hands have been rounded a little and 16% of 6 is 0.96 .. its just too close.

They may not even be rounded.. its possible that truncation is used.
 
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baudib1

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3-bet % is the percentage of times he has 3-bet vs. times he had a chance to 3-bet, not how many times he 3-bet as a percentage of his PFR.

Where are you getting .96 from?
 
Stu_Ungar

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3-bet % is the percentage of times he has 3-bet vs. times he had a chance to 3-bet, not how many times he 3-bet as a percentage of his PFR.

I know this

What I am saying is the PFR includes 3 bets

so 15% of 40 is 6 (yes / no)

16% of 6 is 0.96 (yes / no)

0.96 is very close to 1 (yes / no )

The figures of 15 16 and 40 have either been truncated or rounded (yes / no)
 
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baudib1

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yes, yes


Why are you taking 16% of 6? that's not what 3-bet % measures!
 
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baudib1

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The only reason the number 6 would be involved here in the 3-bet calculation is if:

A. In the course of 40~ hands, he only saw a raise to him 6 times (unlikely)
B. Of the 6 times he raised, he 3-bet all 6 times (possible but unlikely).
 
Stu_Ungar

Stu_Ungar

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yes, yes


Why are you taking 16% of 6? that's not what 3-bet % measures!

Because Im making a few assumptions that would take ages to write out in full and you are not the easiest person to explain stuff to in short, if I misplace a comma or something Ill end up in an never-ending-debate.

Needless to say you see this guy plays 22/15

He has raised 6 times, I think that one of those raises is a 3bet, you estimate the figure to be 3-4.

Does it not feel way too aggressive for a 22/15 to be 3betting equal or greater than the number of times he opens?
 
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baudib1

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It does feel aggressive, however:

16% is high

if he had only 3-bet one time in this 40-hand session, his 3-bet percentage would probably be something like 2%-4%, not 16%

It is EXTREMELY unlikely (even if a very tight/passive game) that he only had a chance to 3-bet 6 times in 40-ish hands, agree/disagree?

your patronizing tone is unappreciated, especially when you have still failed to answer a single question.
 
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