Line: Value Betting the River versus Recreational
PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 5 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat -
https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/624yy4z72
UTG: $18.70 (75 bb)
CO: $25.70 (103 bb)
BU (Hero): $50.02 (200 bb)
SB: $16.71 (67 bb)
BB: $25.00 (100 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with Q♥ K♥
2 players fold, Hero raises to $0.62, 1 fold, BB calls $0.37
Flop: ($1.34) J♥ 6♥ 2♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.64, BB raises to $2.74, Hero calls $2.10
Turn: ($6.82) K♣ (2 players)
BB bets $5.34, Hero calls $5.34
River: ($17.50) 7♣ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $16.71, BB folds
not sure what to do . raise flop raise turn or small bet ?
Hello siwanat99, thank you for posting.
I think no raising here is fine because we want BB to keep
bluffing its entire range.
It is possible that BB hit Two Pair or Set OTF and was trying to protect those
hands from another heart OTT/OTR, and by the same token BB could be bluffing some AhX, so we don't want BB to be folding anything right now, but keep bluffing as long as it cans.
BB is a weak player
per excellence, because it should not be raising OTF, because Hero can have JJ, and should not be betting OTT because hero can have KK, and BB has none of these combos (BB would be 3-betting more often 99+ AT+ combos in this situation).
On the River, given all the action behind, your betting is way too strong and represents only the nutted hands, that could be betting this river for value, such as Flushes and Sets.
If we want to get paid here we need to know a little more about the behavior of Villain on rivers like this.
Some Villains, when we do bet very small on a river like this, are going to think we are bluffing and then raise right off the bat turning our all-in much more easier and profitable.
Some other villains, when we do bet very strong are going to think we are bluffing. And when I mean betting strong, is simply shipping all-in on a River like this. By going all-in on this River we polarize our range for either we have the nuts or we have the
bluff and some types of Villains are going to be Hero Calling much more in scenarios like this, because they would/could think "
it doesn't make any sense, if this guy really had the flush it would be jamming river to never get paid? Gonna call to see its bluffs"
One thing almost every fish is aware of, is that, when you bet 1/2 pot, 2/3 pot, 3/4 pot, 100% pot or even just a little more than 100% pot, you are SCREAMING VALUE, you are begging to be paid by worst hands, and fishes will note this and fold their non-sense value/bluffing range.
Regards;
Carlos 'Aballinamion' Barbosa
