In this hand the point in question occurs on the turn, where it is necessary to make the most important decision, between continuing in the race or folding in the hand. You claim that the villain has reggish stats, however it is necessary to know if in real time you have taken these parameters into account, or now they can be fully observed in retrospect. This is important, since sometimes the stats that we observe differ a lot from the perceived image we have of the villain, especially if we have been able to observe some showdowns where he participated. Some questions may arise from here. Does the villain bet donk mostly for value or bluff? Does the large sizes he applies relate to strong values or does this villain polarize his range often?
The river is a super brick, so all the concerns of this hand must come from the previous streets.
Going back to the first point of the hand, the preflop, our AQs could certainly fit into a 4-bet range. But here we must also consider the image of BTN. Does this villain bet 3 often when it is IP? If villain is not 3-bet light being IP (likely more closed range) and we haven't considered SB stats in real time, it's best to call 3-bet and see a flop, keeping the SPR in shape.
If the button takes advantage of his position to bet 3 relatively frequently, our concentration should be mainly on the SB. Could this villain be calling preflop with a super strong hand to set us up a postflop trap? If we believe in this last possibility, the closest thing is to finish our participation on the turn.
Greetings.
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