25 NL Turned set facing overbet shove w/scare card

P

phatjose

Rock Star
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Oct 2, 2007
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Stacks:
* UTG+1 with $24.65
* MP1 with $24.90
* MP2 with $29.75
* CO with $25.00
* BTN with $17.25
* SB with $24.40
* BB with $15.35
* UTG with $25.00

hand.pl


hand.pl

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: pokerstars
* * Dealt to CO:7♠ 7♥
* * Sklansky group 5
Preflop:
* * 1 players fold.
* * UTG+1 calls [$0.25]
* * 1 players fold.
* * MP2 raises $1 to $1.25
* * Hero calls [$1.25]
* * 2 players fold.
* * BB calls [$1]
* * UTG+1 calls [$1]
* * Total folds this street: 4
* * Potsize: $5.1
Flop:
* * 9♠ K♦ Q♦
* * BB: checks
* * UTG+1: checks
* * MP2: checks
* * Hero: checks
* * Potsize: $5.1
Turn:
* * 7♦
* * BB bets [$14.10] [ all-in ]
* * 2 players folded.
* * Hero ???
* * Total folds this street: 2

Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

Villain is 31/4/3.33 through 51 hands. Not a ton to go on. This seems so bluffy, but I've seen so many players at 25NL just shove when they have the nuts hoping to get paid off. What's my play here?
 
Dwilius

Dwilius

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I bet he wanted to check/raise flopped straight and now throws it in when a diamond hit
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Call. Even if he has the flush or straight you have 10 outs on the river.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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I think it's an easy call against this guy; he could easily be on any type of two pair hand, a draw, maybe even a one-pair hand. Even if he does have you beat you have a good chunk of outs to beat him.
 
Dwilius

Dwilius

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Actually, since no on bet on flop QK is more likely. Either way I think its a big flop/panic bet rather than bluff/draw.
 
B

bw07507

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People shove the river a lot with the nuts hoping to get payed off at 25NL, I rarely see it on the turn. I think you are way ahead of villains range here.
 
SavagePenguin

SavagePenguin

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If he had the flush I don't think he'd make an overbet like that. Why not try to pot commit you on the river?
My guess is that he hit something nice on the flop, slow-played, then panicked when nobody called and a third diamond hit.

I'd call. My guess is that he had K/9.
 
Last edited:
P

phatjose

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Well I was planning on calling, but my PT3 decided to spaz out during this hand and froze my comp up, timing me out. Anyone who is using PT3 right now knows what I'm talking about :(

*** TURN *** [9s Kd Qd] [7d]
phatjose has timed out <--- Crying here
phatjose: folds
Uncalled bet ($14.10) returned to Villain
phatjose is sitting out
 
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