$25 NL, 6-max vs 2 very different players

[SavagePenguin]

This is 22 hands into the game.

I have a total of 27 hands against 7_chops_7, and he VP$IP 56%, and he folded *every* hand after this win, so his VP$IP was much higher at the time. I didn't do the math, I think it was 70%. He only raised pre-flop once, UTG, and nobody called.

Shotgut is a better player. 26% VP$IP over 120 hands, and pretty consistent, so it was about the same at this point. PFR = 19%.

pokerstars Game #17135879694: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/05/01 - 21:22:17 (ET)
Table 'Miranda II' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: LuckyAce2003 ($24.40 in chips)
Seat 2: 7_chops_7 ($14.35 in chips)
Seat 3: SvgePenguin ($33.40 in chips)
Seat 4: greiffer ($25 in chips)
Seat 5: Rossking84 ($26.05 in chips)
Seat 6: shotgut ($25.80 in chips)
shotgut: posts small blind $0.10
LuckyAce2003: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to SvgePenguin [6d 6h]
7_chops_7: calls $0.25
SvgePenguin: raises $0.75 to $1
greiffer: folds
Rossking84: folds
shotgut: calls $0.90
LuckyAce2003: calls $0.75
7_chops_7: calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [5c 7d Jh]
shotgut: checks
LuckyAce2003: checks
7_chops_7: checks
SvgePenguin: checks
*** TURN *** [5c 7d Jh] [6s]
shotgut: bets $2.50
LuckyAce2003: folds
7_chops_7: calls $2.50
SvgePenguin: raises $3.50 to $6
shotgut: calls $3.50
7_chops_7: calls $3.50
*** RIVER *** [5c 7d Jh 6s] [4h]
shotgut: checks
7_chops_7: bets $7.35 and is all-in
SvgePenguin: Thinking "Awe heck why did I let *that* card come up?"
Now what?

 

[TheReaper]

I am surprised you didn't bet the flop when you had position.

At this point, I don't think you can fold. The pot is pretty big compared to his all in, I think you call and cross your fingers. I can't see another set pushing here as they'd be afraid of the straight also. 89 or 88's would make the most sense in this situation, but I wouldn't be surprised if he showed J8. It be hard to let this one go.

 

[SavagePenguin]

I am surprised you didn't bet the flop when you had position.

I wanted an Ace to hit the turn.

Anyway, my trap got me trapped, but I saved myself a little:

*** RIVER *** [5c 7d Jh 6s] [4h]
shotgut: checks
7_chops_7: bets $7.35 and is all-in
SvgePenguin: folds
shotgut: calls $7.35
*** SHOW DOWN ***
7_chops_7: shows [8d Jd] (a straight, Four to Eight)
shotgut: mucks [Qs Jc]
7_chops_7 collected $34.95 from pot

 

[ChuckTs]

Raise way more on the turn. As played I think we can call enough since a confused Jx or two pair will shove this occasionally (in my limited 25nl experience), but folding is fine too if you're not sure.