This is a discussion on $20 NLHE Full Ring: Trips on monotone board improving to FH within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.08/$0.16 - 8 players Hand delivered by CardsChat - https://www.cardschat.com/hand-converter.php UTG: $36.73 (230 bb) UTG+1 (Hero): $19.07 (119 bb) MP: $17.40 (109 bb) MP+1: $25.90 |
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$20 NLHE Full Ring: Trips on monotone board improving to FH |
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$20 NLHE Full Ring: Trips on monotone board improving to FH
PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.08/$0.16 - 8 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat - https://www.cardschat.com/hand-converter.php UTG: $36.73 (230 bb) UTG+1 (Hero): $19.07 (119 bb) MP: $17.40 (109 bb) MP+1: $25.90 (162 bb) CO: $17.59 (110 bb) BU: $26.09 (163 bb) SB: $2.48 (16 bb) BB: $6.05 (38 bb) Pre-Flop: ($0.24) Hero is UTG+1 with Jh As UTG calls $0.16, Hero raises to $0.72, 5 players fold, BB calls $0.56, UTG calls $0.56 Flop: ($2.24) 5d 7d Jc (3 players) BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.28, BB folds, UTG calls $1.28 Turn: ($4.80) Jd (2 players) UTG checks, Hero checks River: ($4.80) Ac (2 players) UTG bets $2.72, Hero? UTG stats: VPIP 50 / PFR 9 / AF 1 over 231 hands Two questions here: 1) Bet turn for value or check back to avoid vomit feeling, if he check-raise? 2) Obviously raising the river but what size do we choose?
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my opinion> I think Hero need to bet in the turn something like $2,40, and if villain go to check-raise, you pay, why not? I don't think he had a strong flush draw, because if he had he would raise in the flop, however, a luck hand like, 55-77 is always in his range(slow playing), since he just limp/pay pre-flop. but always has the river card and things can change....
the way this hand was played, I would raise to $7.52 in the river. gg gl
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#3
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I like the turn x. I'd rather barrel an Ad turn than the Jd turn. Once the board pairs many draws that missed will give up. Many under pairs will also go away. We are repping trips, boat, flush, over pair at the least if we barrel this turn. So little hands can continue without having us beat unless we bet super small. I go about $6 on the river with no reads. More if I think V is strong or sticky.
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#4
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The Leveling Wars, Episode I: The Fish Menace
Aggression factor of 1 over 231 is a bad sample and can make us do a lot of mistakes: it seems that this player "never bluffs", or only bets this river with "AA", when this is not true. A decent aggression factor volume of hands should be something between 500 and 1000 hands, but for this case, given how weak this Villain looks like, it is clearly value betting some Ax that decided to call preflop, and being a weak player of course that it can has AK, AQ, AT, A7, you name it, a lot of hands. 2) I don't know if raising River here is so obvious as it seems. Unless we are pretty confident that UTG is going to call here with Ax, or even worst, we don't see many reasons to be making the pot grow when Villains only calls with best hands. (in this case it will never have best hands so). Well, I will remember very soon how fishy some players are behaving at the pool, for now I'd stay attached to the question reasoning. Since Hero checked the Turn, there is a great chance of UTG to have bet anything for bluff, even some 22, 66, whatever and know when we re-raise River UTG can realize we were trapping, although I saw so many weak players at those mid-limits that I am starting to believe that anything is correct. Yeah, lemme reconsider my thoughts, given how fishy these players are, and rephrase that it is possible for us to be raising this river and getting paid by bluffs or spaz Ax, or PP. If we are trying to look like a bluff I believe a snap-jam would work very fine, because we polarize our range, and it will be more difficult for UTG to fold its trappy AK, AQ, because of the polarization. It looks more like a bluff when we go all-in, IMO. IT UTG thinks at least one second about the game and we make a small raise OTR, we are giving information that we want/need to get called, because we are giving excellent odds for our opponent and poker players don't distribute gifts for nothing. Considering that maybe UTG is one of those no-brainers, I guess anything would be pretty correct here, calling, jamming, raising small ,etc, depend on your actual reading on UTG. Regards; Carlos 'Aballinamion' Barbosa
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Respect and gl always!
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#5
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re: Poker & $20 NLHE Full Ring: Trips on monotone board improving to FH
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#6
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I was making a lot of mistakes here because I was assuming players to be at least level 1 of thought, but most of them are not even level 0, so, given all of that it is okay to be raising any kind of river like this, to extract for whatever huge non-sense range of river hands to be paid off. Regards; Carlos 'Aballinamion' Barbosa
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Respect and gl always! |
#7
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Thanks for the input. On the turn my thought process was very much in line with c0rnBr34d. While my absolute hand strength improved to trips, it was also a very polarizing card, where the Villain now either has trips as well, a flush, a full house, or complete garbage. And this should make it a little difficult to get a lot of value. However he was a fish, and I think, I underestimated the ability of fish to make incredibly bad calls. So against this particular player I think, it was a mistake to check back turn.
On the river I went for the overbet jam, and Aballinamion pretty much nailed why. When fish have a certain hand strength like trips or better, they typically just can not fold. Then will convince themselfes, that overbet is a bluff, and since they dont want to be bullied, they are going to make the call with their QJ. Turned out I put a bit of a cooler on him, which is of course always fun, when you are on the good side of it https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/824xTTpyH
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Second, we are not scared of Villain to have AA, we are scared of Villain to have nothing and simply FOLD right on the spot. This is why fundiver199 asked if he should be raising this river and how much, if it was so obvious, fundiver199 wouldn't bother asking for us. Of course that in this case Villain had a made nut flush and I guess that nobody is folding these type of hands at mid-limits, but there are several hands that could get into this river and fold to a river jam, and this is our concern, where we should be putting money on the pot just to get folds. Regards; Carlos 'Aballinamion' Barbosa
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Respect and gl always! |
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#10
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re: Poker & $20 NLHE Full Ring: Trips on monotone board improving to FH
And it wasn't that bad of a suck out. Poetic justice if you ask me. We had him dominated pre and he hit bingo OTT but we still had 10 outs and luckily the turn went x/x. If he had 77 I'd call that a suck out! Just read your post again, you called it a cooler rather than suck out but you get my drift. Either way, nice to be on the good side of them! I got 1 outted set over set all in on the flop for over 290 BB (total pot, V was about 145BB effective) yesterday...
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