$2 NLHE Full Ring: PP cbets OOP thru each street, makes a set, but could be crushed by riv (2NL micro)

rowhousepd

rowhousepd

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$2 NLHE Full Ring: PP cbets OOP thru each street, makes a set, but could be crushed by riv (2NL micro)

In MP, I raise a limper w/ 88, get callers, and flop overpair on a somewhat innocuous board that comes more dangerous on each street. I make standard cbets OOP on all the streets as I improve to a set on the turn, but possibly face a flush or straight by the river. (I don't have many hands or any reads on the villain, but his play has seemed pretty vanilla since I sat down.)

It's hard (at least for me) to put him on a hand. He didn't raise preflop so he could have a decent pair like QQ-99 (or even the other), and he didn't raise the flop so I'm counting out a set w/ 77 and 55. A7 or might have stuck around during the flop, and possibly Ax (maybe Kx) spades for the flush draw. Although I wasn't worried about 9x before the river, the 6 meant a straight got there. But I was kind of lost here.
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The villain could have just quietly let be keep betting into him once he made a flush on the turn (or straight on the river).

Uuug. I dunno. Was it spewy to keep betting? If so should I have just shoved on the turn since I was gonna stack him anyway? If I had checked, would it be an easy fold to a bet on the turn or river?
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Full Tilt, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager

BB: $2.16 (108 bb)
MP1: $2.92 (146 bb)
Hero (MP2): $3.09 (154.5 bb)
MP3: $0.64 (32 bb)
CO: $1.40 (70 bb)
: $1.60 (80 bb)
BTN: $0 (0 bb)
SB: $2.20 (110 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 8
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8
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CO posts BB OOP, MP1 calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.10, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.08, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.33) 7
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2
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5
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(3 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.30, CO calls $0.30, MP1 folds

Turn: ($0.93) 8
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(2 players)
Hero bets $0.76, CO calls $0.76

River: ($2.45) 6
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(2 players)
Hero bets $1.93 and is all-in, CO calls $0.24
 
pokerman27

pokerman27

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Pretty standard IMO. Your flop and turn bet sizing could perhaps be evaluated but other than that we are never not getting CO's money in the middle.

Edit: oh and we are never folding on that turn when villain is so short.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Just put him All in on the turn. Can you actually think of anything that he calls .76 with that he folds if you make it $1?
 
rowhousepd

rowhousepd

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Just put this thru PStove.

If he has QQ-99, A7, A5, any other Ax (both spades), PStove is saying I'm ~40% on the turn. Jeeesh. Am was I really that behind even w/ my set? Didn't see that at all.
 
bgomez89

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try this(this is the range i put him on after the flop call:

76+, 22,44,55,66,77,99,TT, JTs+,JTo+, QJs+, QJo+, A7, A5, AT/AJ (help if im wrong guys)
 
rowhousepd

rowhousepd

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Ha. I entered one of the board cards wrong. Ooops! :eek: Ok, I'm now getting 77% ... which is a lot more . I knew something was up. Thanks.
 
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