This is a discussion on $2 NLHE Full Ring: AAs facing bet on river flush card within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 9 players
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UTG: $2.02 (101 bb)
UTG+1: $2.83 (142 bb)
MP: $2.00 (100 bb)
MP+1 (Hero): $2.19
Hello, I think that you played good this hand. Pre flop raise is good. At deep stacks 3x is good. The flop bet over 60% of the pot is standard for me, so here is OK. The turn card – it seems that he has some draws, flush draw or straight draw and it seems that he wants to cheaply to see the river card, so raise on the turn is fine. This size raise is OK. The river card – hard decision, because on the river complete the runner runner flush. I think that call on the river won't be a big mistake. So I think that call is standard game. GL
re: Poker & $2 NLHE Full Ring: AAs facing bet on river flush card
Originally Posted by Great Big Pair
The river bet just doesn't seem bluffy to me looking at it here. But the river raise makes me think he doesn't have a diamond and is protecting something. Like a set or KT.
well, set or KT would have busted me. Thankfully I didnt thought on protection... but I should have
Originally Posted by nutself
Having back-door flush on the river is rare in holdem, especially given the bettings on earlier streets, I think I will often call in such situations.
Thats what I did
Originally Posted by mktpppr
T: weird donk sizing by villain. I tank call, because this looks strong. Don't raise: that is overplaying our hand, and most definitely don't use a 5x sizing.
R: as played, another donk, but this time its classic fishy value-town play of "bet small then bet big" on consecutive streets.
I fold: an overpair just isn't good here often enough.
The reason you are "very wrong with bluff catches lately" is because you are trying to read weak players.
You need reliable (*) information (^) to make reads, eg postflop stats over large samples (thousands of hands). Usually it's not possible to get these large samples in nl2 (^).
Also, weak players play differently from week to week or day to day, sometimes even hour to hour due to tilt.
For example, guy breaks up with his girlfriend today and plays 37/28. Tomorrow they are back together and he plays 19/6. You can't rely on these stats (*).
There's no need to read weak players. Just take them to value-town.
The 5x was more of a pot bet disregarding V small bet. Was extracting value? Or showed that I wsa afraid of the river?
Thanks for the considerations. They are kind of funny and spot on
Originally Posted by jaworek1405
The river card – hard decision, because on the river complete the runner runner flush. I think that call on the river won't be a big mistake. So I think that call is standard game. GL
It was a hard call. For some reason, table dynamics, whatever, V looked fishy to me. But I still have that silly thing of be worried about what others will think, like "oh silly fish, cant understand a flush beat AAs."
Originally Posted by lanelosee100
Just a call. Why raise turn to fold river bet. Don't jam just call
Well, if I knew the river probably wouldnt have made that turn bet
Well, in the end I called and villain had a KQo. As a bluff, if he had shoved might have been a lot harder to call. He probably thought I was happey with a 10