$2 NLHE Full Ring: AA with a K on the flop and turn reraise

[GreenDaddy1]

Anyone not double barrelling with the K on the flop? Call on the turn seems unavoidable with those odds. Perhaps could have been a bit more aggressive pre flop, but that line pretty standard at NL2 I'd have thought.


PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 99.5 BB (VPIP: 4.35, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, hands: 46)
Hero (SB): 153 BB
BB: 167.5 BB (VPIP: 13.53, PFR: 8.27, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 135)
UTG: 410.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
UTG+1: 87 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
MP: 123.5 BB (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
MP+1: 88.5 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 66.67, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP+2: 196 BB (VPIP: 10.53, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 19)
CO: 223 BB (VPIP: 12.20, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ A♣
UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 4 BB, Hero raises to 14 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 10 BB
Flop: (30 BB, 2 players) 2♣ K♠ 4♣
Hero bets 18 BB, BTN calls 18 BB
Turn: (66 BB, 2 players) 3♦
Hero bets 46 BB, BTN raises to 67.5 BB and is all-in, Hero ????

 

[quant1986]

Looks very standard. Just a cooler if villain has KK.

 

[TenJack]

I probably gii here, but i fear 22 and 44. We really only loose to A5, KK, 44 and 22, so a total of 17 combos (8 a5, 3 kk, 3 44, and 3 22) versus a ton of AK, KQ, combos we beat soundly. I honestly don

We have the Ac, which is bad. We block a lot of his flush draw combos.

If he shows a set or A5, then we suck it up, get stacked, and rebuy knowing that we did what most others would do.

 

[edc1]

you raised 46 bb,s then villain re-raised to 67 bb putting villain all-in, youcant fold here for the extra 20 bb,s his jam will cost you-chances are your beat this hand but who knows-at these low rng tables its very hard to range ppl because some of the play is so unthorodox

 

[Gabe16]

KK can be discounted to a certain degree vs a nitty player, it likely gets 4B pre.

The flop spr is 3ish. So with an overpair we probably shouldn’t be folding. There’s some room there but not much. Plus this boards great for our hand and range. I’m not sure if you bet polarised or linear. But either way we have range advantage. Villain should probably fold the lower pp’s to the 3B at some frequency.

Yeah this can be a standard way to play a set on a semi dry board for most players, but nits probably see the fd and gii. So although we can’t discount sets completely they should be less significant at this point.

We blow any chances of getting away from a set with our turn sizing. And probably allow villain to play perfectly, does villain ever do this with AK? A nit at NL2, possibly, but probably not. I mean you’ve practically gone ai. So if villain thinks his hands good enough to call why leave chips behind might be the thinking.

We’re getting close to 8.3-1 so it’s an auto call, any doubts at all just add to it, then we have hand equity. Vs a set we have 4%, vs A5 we 6%. Easy call in the end.

 

[GreenDaddy1]

Villain had KK. Always calling it in that spot. Good to read everyone's analysis though.

Surprised there was no 4 bet, but it is 2NL after all

 

[Gabe16]

Well it’s a +ev spot overall for you. The reverse will happen and you’ll always get paid, plus villain is making a strategic error (his whole nitty game is an error) in that he’s making a mistake slow playing KK, it’s too vulnerable and needs protecting overall. Slow playing aces can be good. Although slow playing anything at NL2 is probably sub optimal.

You won’t make that mistake. By not 4B he never finds out how serious you are about your hand and thus doesn’t give himself any way to get away on low flops. And we’ll see a flop with an ace on it a decent amount of time with our 3B range.

So because you aren’t a nit there’s times we probably get him to fold those kings when we don’t have an ace. By selecting appropriate bluffs post flop.

Our strategy is superior so no sweat!

 

[GreenDaddy1]

Good to know I'm on the right track.

I'm 3 betting linear at 2NL btw. I do alter the range a bit based on villain position, my position and villain stats if I can get a read. If I can move up the stakes I'd gradually be moving to a more polarised range. At 2NL though, keeping it simple seems better from what I've read.

 

[Gabe16]

I’d imagine so. A value orientated games likely best, but if there’s fold equity there, like villains btn rfi is high (as it should be) and his fold to 3B is 65%+ then developing a range to take advantage would be good.

But yeah working fundamentals and getting rolled higher is a bigger priority.