$2 NLHE 6-max: Raise Shove on the River without the Nuts

[Phoenix2223]

Hey Everyone,

I think Villain in this spot is probably a Fish:

Hands: 34 / VPIP: 38/ PFR: 18

Well, the way that hand was played all the way down to the River,did you think villain only may have Full House when He Calls me??


pokerstars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 4 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $2.03 (102 bb)
BU (Hero): $2.24 (112 bb)
SB: $1.10 (55 bb)
BB: $2.00 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with T♦ A♦
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.04, SB 3-bets to $0.06, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.02

Flop: ($0.14) Q♦ K♥ 9♥ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.14) Q♠ (2 players)
SB bets $0.02, Hero calls $0.02

River: ($0.18) J♦ (2 players)
SB bets $0.16, Hero raises to $1.64, SB calls $0.86 (all-in)

 

[braveslice]

Haha I lost 3BI quite similar situation some 3 hours ago, I still debate about it in my mind =)

 

[micromoi]

i dont like this hand was played from the begining. raise more 4BB is the minimum. the flop it's ok, turn looks like a check too, but on the river there no need to push in a paired board u will not get called by worst, a call is the right play.

 

[John A]

4 handed I'd just bet that flop. You have a ton of bluffing outs also and you forfeit that chance when you pass on these spots. Yes, you have several backdoor outs to the nuts, and if this was 6 handed+ I like a check a higher percentage of the time.

I think on the river you can min raise and fold to a shove (even w/ insane odds to call). People at these stakes won't 3-bet the river w/o the nuts or near nuts. A shove by you once this board finishes out, you're likely going to fold a lot of Tx, and a small % of Qx. Not enough worse combos that will call for what you're putting in now.

 

[Hujiko]

River shove is bad in my opinion.

He pot betted on the river so most of the time he will have a real hand and a real hand on this one card to a straight board should be a straight or better. So the villain is not likely to call a river shove (of ~ 1.5 pot size) on this board with anything less then a straight or a full house.

 

[Kalamari]

no i dont think he will only have full house here you can raise fold if you have a good read but you have to raise this hand vs fish if you want tomake money nd he is definetely fish

 

[Phoenix2223]

Thanks for all Replies!!