$2 NLHE 6-max: Folded AA on turn what do you do with your range here?

[Pro9ect]

Was I right to fold here?


BTN: 91.5 BB (VPIP: 21.62, PFR: 14.41, 3Bet Preflop: 2.86, hands: 115)
Hero (SB): 127.5 BB
BB: 125.5 BB (VPIP: 35.56, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 46)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
CO: 127.5 BB (VPIP: 31.71, PFR: 14.63, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 41)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ A♦

fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, BB calls 8 BB, BTN calls 6 BB

Flop: (27 BB, 3 players) 3♥ 2♣ T♣
Hero bets 21 BB, BB calls 21 BB, BTN calls 21 BB

Turn: (90 BB, 3 players) J♥
Hero checks, BB bets 43.5 BB, BTN raises to 61.5 BB and is all-in, fold, BB calls 18 BB

River: (213 BB, 2 players) 5♣

BB shows K♦ K♥ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 77%, Flop 70%, Turn 71%)
BTN shows 4♥ 5♥ (One Pair, Fives)
(Pre 23%, Flop 30%, Turn 29%)
BB wins 205.5 BB

 

[cs_rlewis]

I'd bet turn here, I don't like the check. That way if you get raised you can make a profitable call based on equity and pot odds alone.
This is a really tough spot, turn raises are pretty nut heavy.
Easy to say in hindsight you made a bad fold now that you know the results.
It's happened to me once as well!
Once I plugged this into an equity calculator in a smilar spot you can easily make a profitable call and you should not fold in this situation.

 

[Pro9ect]

if we bet the turn then KK shoves and other villain shoves, what would you do?
are you still thinking youre ahead with tp?

 

[quant1986]

Preflop: can raise slightly larger 3.5x when OOP
Flop: I think I would go for smaller size as you have Ac, keep BB/BTN range wide
Turn: bet/fold - don't like check-call/fold here as you still have JJ/TT in your range

As played I would fold on the turn as well given 3-way pot and both BB/BTN called your flop bet.

 

[shinedown.45]

if we bet the turn then KK shoves and other villain shoves, what would you do?
are you still thinking youre ahead with tp?

With only an 11% chance of hitting a set on the flop, I think we would be ahead.

As for the way the hand was actually played and assuming these players know how to play.....

On such a draw heavy flop, if either had hit a set on the flop, you would assume they would want to protect their set by raising your flop bet, but they didn't so lets assume they were on some sort of draw or an over pair.
With the way the hand played out, I would have been quite comfortable firing that second bullet on the turn.