I am going to get accused of being results oriented here but you will just have to take my word for it I watch the replayer by pausing and then hitting next and not watching it continually go through so I can make up mind at each decision in the hand as if I were actually in the hand.
Pre flop raise is standard, I dont love calling this large of a 3 bet to be honest but heads up I think we have to call with these types of
hands or we are just going to get blown out of the water.
On the flop it is a no brainer flat call. If we raise we are just making every non Ax hand fold except QQ which has us anyway. The call also put at a stack depth that will allow us easily to get it in on the next bet should we want to.
On the turn, the 7 is not menacing but the diamond is not something that should be overlooked. It is not something that would scare me by any means but it should play a role in the turn decision making for both you and the villain. When villain checks that turn, whether I am right or wrong, I take all their Ax range away from them. No reason why Ax would want to give us a potential free card to a flush unless they have already have a boat and that is rare. So when they check I am putting them on something we are crushing and probably isnt going to put any money in the pot the rest of the way. With that being said I would be thinking the only way I can get them to possibly call is if they think I dont have Ax either (going to be a hard sell since we called pre and called flop). With that and also that we have less than pot left anyway I would just put it all in here and hope villain determines that my hand is a possible
bluff or possible semi bluff with two diamonds. Will they fold to it a vast majority of the time... yes they will but again I pegged the villain in watching the replayer with about the hand they had so I need them to think of it as a bluff catcher and maybe get them to call.
Contrary to the above I think you could easily make a case that you could get the same EV or possibly more by checking and hope villain then interprets that as weakness and bluffs river which of course we would be snapping off (just depends on how villain plays rivers which we probably dont know at this point). I do think going through the hand that a lot of their hands are pocket pairs and those might just check hoping to get to a cheap showdown instead of turning it into a bluff or check to be the bluff catcher. I wouldnt like a diamond river though but I would live with it if it happened. Just imo I personally like just jamming it on the turn better
As played on the river we arent folding and its very interesting villain did not put you all in as it makes no sense to me from their perspective to make a bet that does not put us all in. I could see arguments for just calling or putting the rest in since it is so small. This bet is either a bluff, 77 or 66 always and
odds are really against the bluff to be honest but I just couldnt fold here but as I clicked the call or all in button (again, Im indifferent on that isnce if it is a bluff villain would still call the 17 extra cents at that point) id be saying show me the pocket 7s or 6s.
