10NL QQ

joos

joos

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Mar 7, 2008
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272
10NL QQ on the button vs a 4-bet

Stacks:
* koekie1986 with $9.35
* BTN with $12.25
* SB with $9.60
* BB with $9.35
* UTG with $8.70
* UTG+1 with $0.95
* MP1 with $12.30
* MP2 with $10.05
hand.pl

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: pokerstars
Dealt to BTN:Q♦ Q♣
* * Sklansky group 1
Preflop:
* * 2 players fold.
* * MP1 raises $0.20 to $0.30
* * 2 players fold.
Hero raises $0.90 to $1.20
* * 2 players fold.
* * MP1 raises $2.40 to $3.60 Hero calls [$2.40]
* * Total folds this street: 6
* * Potsize: $7.35
Flop: J♥ 10♦ 8♦
* * MP1 bets [$4]
* * Hero ?

Villain just sat down. Over 15 hands he is 30/20/7. Can I make a case for ever folding this pre or do I make the right play by taking a flop against an unknown.


Board: Td 8d Jh
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.764% 47.16% 01.61% 14940 508.50 { QcQd }
Hand 1: 51.236% 49.63% 01.61% 15723 508.50 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
 
Last edited:
KyleJRM

KyleJRM

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Sep 9, 2007
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735
I think the equity at the bottom says it all. You are 50/50 and getting way better than 50-50 odds. Even if he has the overpair, which is worst-case scenario besides maybe a set of 10s, you've got a decent number of outs. And there's always a decent chance your overpair is good.

Whatever you do, don't flat-call. At that point, most of your stack will already be in and you aren't drawing to anything, so use what little fold equity you might have.
 
Jillychemung

Jillychemung

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Have you seen opponent go to showdown yet? Any reads on if he favors connectors? double barrels? Given the equity I call here and see what the turn brings.
 
Richyl2008

Richyl2008

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Mar 14, 2008
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I was in a situation very similiar to this recently. After he makes the 4bet pre I think you need to make a commit decision right then and there if your going to put in almost a 1/3 of your stack. Against someone with those stats with a larger sample size I think I might stick it in there. With a small sample size like you have I think I would probably give him credit for a typical 10nl players 4betting range of KK+ AK, where you are way behind or slightly ahead. On the flop I cant really see any hands that you beat that 4bets you preflop out of position other than maybe AK, assuming he plays AK that way. If you widen his preflop 4 betting range to 1010+, AK your pretty much behind his entire range for the most part.
 
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