C
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Visionary
Silver Level
PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 125.91 BB - VP 24 / PR 17 / 3B 0 / AF 2 (67 Hands)
SB: 100 BB
BB: 100 BB
CO: 106.59 BB - VP 42 / PR 3 / 3B 5 / AF 1 (81 Hands)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2♦ 2♥
CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 3 BB
Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥ 3♠ 2♠
CO checks, Hero bets 5 BB, CO calls 5 BB
Turn: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 7♣
CO checks, Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB
River: (41.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
CO checks, Hero bets 30 BB, CO calls 30 BB
I had some bet sizing conflicts this hand. The turn card is polarizing so should I be using polarized sizing to match? I can see going 1/3 here to try and get small value and induce or going large to rep the 7x which is a very thin part of our range and may get looked up by flush draws or other paired hands that are non-believers. If we go large and get called on the turn it also puts stacks in play on the river. I kind of gave up and wend middle of the road sizing between 1/2 and 2/3 instead. On the river I was tempted to overbet as well but I couldn't find enough hands I expect to call so again Hero went for a still strong but more reasonable 3/4 bet. Looking back at it now, I like this line for JJ+ but I think we should be going for fatter value with trips and boats+. Am I being greedy / results oriented here? Or am I missing some EV?
ETA: Also I think I failed to consider Vs stats enough here. With a VPIP of 42 he's got some 7x in his limp call range, at the same time with a PFR being 3% he's got some overpairs as well. Lastly with an AF of 1. He's slow playing some monsters on occasion. Seems like more of a case to size up no? On the other hand his FFCB / FTCB / FRCB were 60 / 25 / 100 but the 100 was 1 out of 1. Working with tiny samples can be a slippery slope.
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 125.91 BB - VP 24 / PR 17 / 3B 0 / AF 2 (67 Hands)
SB: 100 BB
BB: 100 BB
CO: 106.59 BB - VP 42 / PR 3 / 3B 5 / AF 1 (81 Hands)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2♦ 2♥
CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 3 BB
Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥ 3♠ 2♠
CO checks, Hero bets 5 BB, CO calls 5 BB
Turn: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 7♣
CO checks, Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB
River: (41.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
CO checks, Hero bets 30 BB, CO calls 30 BB
I had some bet sizing conflicts this hand. The turn card is polarizing so should I be using polarized sizing to match? I can see going 1/3 here to try and get small value and induce or going large to rep the 7x which is a very thin part of our range and may get looked up by flush draws or other paired hands that are non-believers. If we go large and get called on the turn it also puts stacks in play on the river. I kind of gave up and wend middle of the road sizing between 1/2 and 2/3 instead. On the river I was tempted to overbet as well but I couldn't find enough hands I expect to call so again Hero went for a still strong but more reasonable 3/4 bet. Looking back at it now, I like this line for JJ+ but I think we should be going for fatter value with trips and boats+. Am I being greedy / results oriented here? Or am I missing some EV?
ETA: Also I think I failed to consider Vs stats enough here. With a VPIP of 42 he's got some 7x in his limp call range, at the same time with a PFR being 3% he's got some overpairs as well. Lastly with an AF of 1. He's slow playing some monsters on occasion. Seems like more of a case to size up no? On the other hand his FFCB / FTCB / FRCB were 60 / 25 / 100 but the 100 was 1 out of 1. Working with tiny samples can be a slippery slope.
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