This is a discussion on $10 NLHE 6-max: Punt Or No Punt within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
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UTG: $10.35 (104 bb)
MP: $13.10 (131 bb)
CO: $12.98 (130 bb)
BU (Hero): $18.12
I think you are thinking that your opponents have too wide in their range. The idea of opening K4s from BTN is to steal from the blind. If you can't steal from the blinds you have to find a better flop for you.
I understand that V's mini raise could motivate you to bluff on the flop. But many times weak players mini-raise with decent hands.
So I suggest you look for better zoom spots. Think that there is a fast fold button where villains can quickly switch tables and increases the possibility of playing with better hands.
Your bluffs are interesting, but you should apply them better at regular tables. In zoom you must bear in mind that beginner players are going to play tighter in their bets, so you must play with more appropriate bluffs for this environment.
BU (Hero) shows K♠ 4♠ (a pair of Nines) (Equity - Pre-Flop: 38%, Flop: 18%, Turn: 16%, River: 0%)
BB shows A♥ 9♥ (three of a kind, Nines) (Equity - Pre-Flop: 62%, Flop: 82%, Turn: 84%, River: 100%)
BB wins $34.79
Thank you for posting.
The number one mistake the average player makes is calling too often. We compensate for that by bluffing less and big betting our nut like hands.
So the data points we need to profitably bluff vs average Villain players are:
1 V is capable of folding.
2 V has weak nut range on the board runout.
The Villain min raised OOP what range does that?
Could the V have the nuts on this flop?
Would we raise this flop action with the nuts?
When V calls the flop raise and we know V do not like to fold and as shown V could have the nuts and we pick up equity the +EV play is what?
V calls turn- V do not like to fold- why do we think they will fold river?
What data our we basing our 3 barrel bluff on?
If the V has a naked 8 they will fold to any bet on the river why did we choose to shove?
We need value bets usually 2-1 value to bluff in our shove range on this river which means we expect our V to call. What range would you expect V to call with?
Is the call range mostly made hands? Too many for a bluff shove to be profitable?