$10 NLHE 6-max: $ : KJo in SB, resteal gone wrong, barrel turn?

[orangepeeleo]

Villain is 28/21/2.5 over a 60 hand sample, although his stats were looking more TAG-like when this hand happened, 40% overall stl, i think 50% from CO though.


Full Tilt - $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em (6 players)
Full Tilt Hand Converter Tool from CardsChat.com
SB Hero: $18.36
BB: $10 (sitting out) - Sitting Out
UTG: $12.81
MP: $10 (sitting out) - Sitting Out
CO: $12.83
BTN: $10
Pre-flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB and dealt
CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, Hero raises to $1, UTG folds, CO calls $0.70
Flop: ($2.10) (4 players)
Hero bets $1.45, CO calls $1.45
Turn: ($5) (4 players)
Hero???

First, bet bigger on the flop? Like $1.70?

Second, we are barreling the turn here aren't we? overcard comes + OESD.... given he called the re-steal and then flatted the flopbet I think we have little - no fold equity but do we have enough + our new outs to keep betting. I cant think what calls the flop bet and folds the turn though, so another arguement for no FE, like KT/AT might fold, unless theyre diamonds.

If we do bet, how much? and if he flats again, what do we do if the river bricks?

Thanks

 

[KardKlub]

The resteal is cool imo. When he calls ip this flop hits his range pretty hard. I dont mind the flop cbet, if i had more of a hand rather than gutshots and overs id bet more but that bet is fine.

as for the turn i think it could improve villians drawing range but its a great card to represent and you do have back door outs. But this time i think your bet has to be bigger maybe $4.25. This lets villian know that if he calls now he will probably have to call his stack off to your proposed river bet.

Its a bet fold situation though, if i had turned the backdoor flush too i might call a shove.

 

[bgomez89]

Whats his f3 bet?

 

[WVHillbilly]

I think you can actually bet a little smaller on the flop ~$1.25 and be fine. It'll fold the same range and still allow you to get stacks in if you hit.

As played I bet the turn 100%. Again though I don't think your turn bet needs to be overly large. Ideally I'd only bet enough so that I was set up for a river pot sized shove if called but here that would be too small a bet to get many folds. I'd probably bet $3 on the turn. If he calls there will be $11 in the pot and he'll have ~$7.30 left behind. So he should get the sense that his turn call is likely for all his chips with a $3 bet.