This is a discussion on $10 NLHE 6-max: How Would You Have Played This Blind Vs Blind within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; iPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
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UTG: $10.00 (100 bb)
MP: $13.08 (131 bb)
CO: $9.70 (97 bb)
BU: $23.52 (235 bb)
Would you have played this any different? SB was a LAG with VPIP over 30 and PFR close behind
Thank U 4 Posting
The HUD stats you need are the post flop numbers, they will indicate if this Villain is Loose Over Aggressive -LOA or just a good LAG.
So on the river we tie all Ax and only beat bluffs KQ is a bluff as played.
So would this V expect us to fold that river? Are they so LOA that they just ignore the fact that we called on 2 streets?
The flop call narrows our range. The Turn call confirms that we are capped at most likely an Ax hand possible A8 maybe Q8 or 88 QQ maybe. So is this V LOA enough to try to bet us off of a chop when they unblock QQ 8x?
If we do not have any reason to believe this V is LOA we need to fold the river.
Were there any timing tells? That might help you lean to call or fold?
The HUD stats suggest a wild player here which might lean us to call but they also suggest that we can fold and stack this player in any number of other hands. Which means we can miss slight EV+ situations for much larger EV+ spots later. Also if this V is bluffing here it means that they will continue to over bluff, so again we get our equity in spots were we clearly have the best of it not in such a marginal spot as this.
re: Poker & $10 NLHE 6-max: How Would You Have Played This Blind Vs Blind
3-bet pre-flop. As played, flop and turn are OK considering the opponent. River just depends if he's a good LAG or not because if he's good (are there good LAGs at this stake?) he should understand that you won't have a hand good enough to call the river since you didn't 3-bet pre and you didn't raise the turn. So your range looks like a weak Ace, and you're really more at the top of your range for just calling pre.
So if he's good, lean towards a call, otherwise fold. But really the river EV is close either way. The biggest mistake was pre imho.
P: easy 3bet.
F: as played, fine I guess, but I would never be in this spot. I'm not sure if raising is overplaying our hand, if we get 3bet we'll probably have to call and see a turn.
R: readless its a fold, if villain is LAG enough postflop then its a call. I lean towards folding.