$10 NLHE 6-max: Difficult river decision vs LAG

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Deceitful_Frank

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poker stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1192565
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $10.15
UTG: $6.00
MP: $7.99
CO: $11.28 This guy is a 43/39 with a fold to 3bet of 7/11 times. I have 145 hands on him
BTN: $10.25
Hero (SB): $19.16

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K
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Q
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2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30,

Looks like he probably isn't keen to fold to 3bets so have expended my value range and I think 4.5X is good here...

Hero raises to $1.35, 1 fold, CO calls $1.05, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.10) A
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7
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K
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(2 players)

I obviously beat most of his kings here though I am worried about an ace. I have to cbet. Think I made it a strong 70%

Hero bets $2.15
,

CO raises to $9.93 all in

Tough one eh? Getting nearly 2:1 but can't think of a lot that would shove here that I am head of...
 
LizaBuv

LizaBuv

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Folding

Depending on how L/A he was, I could put him on A-rag. I am thinking he has A7 or a flush draw. K7s possible as well as AK but more unlikely. I do figure you are behind and did the right thing in folding.

A - rag would fit nicely in his range from the CO.
 
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papatango123

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why would you ever think about calling of your hole stack with 2nd pair?
always a fold here
 
Sysvr4

Sysvr4

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I presume you thought the 3bet profitable due to his F3B%, but what the stat doesn't account for is position. IME, LAGs are much more likely to call 3bets in position than otherwise.

I call PF, and probably c/c the flop trying to keep the pot size reasonable. If a diamond, T, or J fall on the turn and he continues to be aggressive, c/f.

As played, this is a fold.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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I like the way you played it, without a read that he shoves light or his flush draws it's a fold. If he's one of those that raises a depolarized range that includes any pair, draws etc. then snap call ofc. You need a few reads
 
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Deceitful_Frank

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I tanked... then folded.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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I tanked... then folded.

That's quite alright. For the future don't be scared of making hero calls if your logic and your gut feeling tells you you're good. I see a ton of these aggro dudes totally depolarize their range and bet 3rd pair like the nuts etc. can be really confusing
 
LizaBuv

LizaBuv

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Situation

why would you ever think about calling of your hole stack with 2nd pair?
always a fold here

In this situation I agree with folding. IMO, There is no "always" in poker however.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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I don't really like 3betting this preflop. KQs can be played pretty well against a huge range even OOP. I call pre.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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I don't really like 3betting this preflop. KQs can be played pretty well against a huge range even OOP. I call pre.

Meh. Don't you want to take his stack if you hit a pair? Or more importantly, take aggression away from him and be able to cbet / take down a bigger pot
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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You don't think we can do that without 3betting?

Edit to add: From my db when I have 3bet KQs from the blinds it's a -30BB/100 loser. When I flat it 144BB/100 winner. I think I stick to flatting it.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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You don't think we can do that without 3betting?

Edit to add: From my db when I have 3bet KQs from the blinds it's a -30BB/100 loser. When I flat it 144BB/100 winner. I think I stick to flatting it.

Mine are inconclusive tbh, lol sample size - 12 for 3-betting, 29 for calling over 76K hands. Meh. I am doing better calling fwiw.

It's an interesting discussion though. What would you do in this situation if you had position on him ?
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Yeah is hard to get huge samples in specific spots with specific hands but mine was 35 3bets, 122 flats.

Depends really if in position I certainly like 3betting a little more but if he's aggressive postflop I think calling in position and letting him bluff is better.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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Yeah is hard to get huge samples in specific spots with specific hands but mine was 35 3bets, 122 flats.

Depends really if in position I certainly like 3betting a little more but if he's aggressive postflop I think calling in position and letting him bluff is better.

Do you ever flat premiums too vs someone really bluffy ?Been trying it a bit but hasn't really worked out I don't think
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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I never (basically never) flat AA because there is lots of value in coolering KK/QQ before they see a scary flop. I will flat AK/QQ on occasion depending on all the usual concerns. Also remember that I play FR so those nits fold to 3bets with less than QQ/AK.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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I never (basically never) flat AA because there is lots of value in coolering KK/QQ before they see a scary flop. I will flat AK/QQ on occasion depending on all the usual concerns. Also remember that I play FR so those nits fold to 3bets with less than QQ/AK.

Ah ok. I imagine a 67/12 in 6-max is going to be the same in FR tho, or maybe I'm wrong.

Thx for the tips. WV for mod!

Oh, wait...
 
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