A
aestheticsNL
Rising Star
Bronze Level
'pokerstars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker
UTG: $10.87 (109 bb)
MP: $5.59 (56 bb)
CO: $10.30 (103 bb)
BU: $12.05 (121 bb)
SB (Hero): $14.93 (149 bb)
BB: $10.60 (106 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with J♥ A♠
4 players fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.60) J♦ 3♦ Q♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $0.43, Hero calls $0.43
Turn: ($1.46) 7♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.04, Hero calls $1.04
River: ($3.54) A♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4.56, Hero???
This was a hand I played this evening on pokerstars zoom 6max 10NL.
I have ajo in the sb and it get fold towards me so I open to 3 bb. The bb decides to call. Villan is an unknown. That means that I have less than 10 hands on him. (My hud stats will appear after more than 10 hands)
I think villain is some kind of reg because of the fact that he is 100 bb deep. When I put an unknown on a range of hands I always take his range really widely to be sure that I don't mis a combination that he can have. So i putt him on the next range of hands:
TT-22,AJo-A2o,KQo-K9o,QJo-Q9o,JTo-J9o,T9o,98o,87o,76o,65o,AJs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q2s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
Yes he probably 3bets tt,99,aj,kq and he probably folds 43s 56o and some more bad hands, but I don't know that for sure so i take his range widely as I explained before.
On the flop I decided not to make a c-bet. Normally I do,but it is a boardtexture where your c-bet sometimes get raised and that will put me in a tough situation so I decided to go for a checkcall.
Villain bets and that doesn't give me that much information. He can do this with his whole range just to take a stab at the pot.
The turn is a 7, and I decide to checkcall again. When he leads the turn I putt him on the next range of hands:
77,33,AJo,KQo-KTo,QJo-Q9o,T9o,AJs-A4s,A2s,KQs-K4s,K2s,QJs-Q4s,Q2s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
all suited hands from diamonds of course.
The river is an ace of clubs which makes two pair for me. I check and he overbets the pot. What should I do here. The first question I ask myself, can I beat some valuebets? The only valuebet I can beat is j-q but I think he will not bet j-q so big because I can easily have a-j or a-q.
So the only value hand I can beat is sometimes j-q but I don't think j-q will takes this line.
His range is probably very polarized on this river. Some bluffs with missed draws and nutted hands.
I put him on the next range of hands (noted I have deleted the flushdraw with showdown value because he is more likely to check back with those hands and use his flushdraws with totall air as a bluf.
77,33,AJo,KTo,QJo,T9o,AJS,KTS,-K4s,K2s,QJs,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
Which hands are beating me:
77,33,kto,ktS (22 combo's)
Which hands do I beat:
QJo,QJS (don't count this hands because he probably usea thin valuebet here)
t9S(4 combo's) because he can take this line with oesd as well.
,T9o, (16 combo's)
-K4s,K2s,,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s (14 combo's)
Splitpot:
AJo,ajs (don't count this hands because he probably uses a thin valuebet here)
How many combo's are beating me: 22 combo's
How many combo's do I beat: 34
But the question is, will he take this line with all of his missed draws. Probably not. Let's say that villain does this 50% of the time whith his missed draws. that gives him
34*0,5= 17 combo's.
How many equity do I need:
4,56/(8,1+4,56) = 36%
How many equity do I have:
I beat 17 combo's
I lose to 22 combo's
17/(17+22) = 43,5% equity.
My equity is higher than my required equity so based on this I should make the call. But the problem is, this are all a assumptions. Maybe villain almost never blufs or maybe he bluffs way more often. So my analysis said that I have to call here. But what is your opinion. Should I have called or fold in this spot on the river?
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker
UTG: $10.87 (109 bb)
MP: $5.59 (56 bb)
CO: $10.30 (103 bb)
BU: $12.05 (121 bb)
SB (Hero): $14.93 (149 bb)
BB: $10.60 (106 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with J♥ A♠
4 players fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.60) J♦ 3♦ Q♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $0.43, Hero calls $0.43
Turn: ($1.46) 7♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.04, Hero calls $1.04
River: ($3.54) A♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4.56, Hero???
This was a hand I played this evening on pokerstars zoom 6max 10NL.
I have ajo in the sb and it get fold towards me so I open to 3 bb. The bb decides to call. Villan is an unknown. That means that I have less than 10 hands on him. (My hud stats will appear after more than 10 hands)
I think villain is some kind of reg because of the fact that he is 100 bb deep. When I put an unknown on a range of hands I always take his range really widely to be sure that I don't mis a combination that he can have. So i putt him on the next range of hands:
TT-22,AJo-A2o,KQo-K9o,QJo-Q9o,JTo-J9o,T9o,98o,87o,76o,65o,AJs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q2s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
Yes he probably 3bets tt,99,aj,kq and he probably folds 43s 56o and some more bad hands, but I don't know that for sure so i take his range widely as I explained before.
On the flop I decided not to make a c-bet. Normally I do,but it is a boardtexture where your c-bet sometimes get raised and that will put me in a tough situation so I decided to go for a checkcall.
Villain bets and that doesn't give me that much information. He can do this with his whole range just to take a stab at the pot.
The turn is a 7, and I decide to checkcall again. When he leads the turn I putt him on the next range of hands:
77,33,AJo,KQo-KTo,QJo-Q9o,T9o,AJs-A4s,A2s,KQs-K4s,K2s,QJs-Q4s,Q2s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
all suited hands from diamonds of course.
The river is an ace of clubs which makes two pair for me. I check and he overbets the pot. What should I do here. The first question I ask myself, can I beat some valuebets? The only valuebet I can beat is j-q but I think he will not bet j-q so big because I can easily have a-j or a-q.
So the only value hand I can beat is sometimes j-q but I don't think j-q will takes this line.
His range is probably very polarized on this river. Some bluffs with missed draws and nutted hands.
I put him on the next range of hands (noted I have deleted the flushdraw with showdown value because he is more likely to check back with those hands and use his flushdraws with totall air as a bluf.
77,33,AJo,KTo,QJo,T9o,AJS,KTS,-K4s,K2s,QJs,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s
Which hands are beating me:
77,33,kto,ktS (22 combo's)
Which hands do I beat:
QJo,QJS (don't count this hands because he probably usea thin valuebet here)
t9S(4 combo's) because he can take this line with oesd as well.
,T9o, (16 combo's)
-K4s,K2s,,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,43s (14 combo's)
Splitpot:
AJo,ajs (don't count this hands because he probably uses a thin valuebet here)
How many combo's are beating me: 22 combo's
How many combo's do I beat: 34
But the question is, will he take this line with all of his missed draws. Probably not. Let's say that villain does this 50% of the time whith his missed draws. that gives him
34*0,5= 17 combo's.
How many equity do I need:
4,56/(8,1+4,56) = 36%
How many equity do I have:
I beat 17 combo's
I lose to 22 combo's
17/(17+22) = 43,5% equity.
My equity is higher than my required equity so based on this I should make the call. But the problem is, this are all a assumptions. Maybe villain almost never blufs or maybe he bluffs way more often. So my analysis said that I have to call here. But what is your opinion. Should I have called or fold in this spot on the river?