Evaluating Turn Odds; Am I using Equilab right?

HobokenNJ

HobokenNJ

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Hi,

I sometimes like to replay hands in equilab (particularly if I lose with the river card). It looks pretty straightforward, but can I ask if I'm reading it correctly?

Here's a rough outline of my hand (as best I remember):

Hero: KQo
Villain: 77

Flop: K34

I bet about a 1/4 pot. Villain call.

Turn: Q

I bet about a 1/2 pot. Villain call.

Plugging this info into equilab, I get 95.45% v. 4.5%. Does that mean given all possible river cards, I should win 95.45% of the time?

With two overhands, villain's line seems wrong with these numbers. Even with one pair, I think I get about the same result.

(Spoiler: a 7 lands.)



Board: Ks3d4h Qh
equity Win Tie
MP2 95.45% 95.45% 0.00% { KQo }
MP3 4.55% 4.55% 0.00% { 77 }
 
TheRealPage

TheRealPage

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HobokenNJ

HobokenNJ

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Thank you for taking the time to respond.

Double-thank you for posting a link for further reading.
 
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