The key advantage of playing live versus playing on the net is the ability to make reads and act on your conclusions.
As stated earlier the raiserís profile was tight aggressive. His body language told me two things that he was strong but he did not want a call. When I asked him if he wanted a call, he remained silent but his body language reaffirmed my initial read.
I ran thru the possible hands that he might be raising with:
AA, KK I considered possible but dubious under 5%
AK I actually felt that this was a likely possibility probably O/S 20%
AQ, AJ, A10 each 5%íers along with A rag
JJ, 10 10, 10%erís
99, 88, 77, J10, 10 9, 5%erís
After considering these assumptions, the only hand I really needed to fear was the AK race. I thought for a few seconds about the fact that doing nothing should assure me of a cash. However, walking thru the backdoor I usually manage to step in the quicksand. When you let your opportunities escape without benefits the poker lords do have a tendency to slap you back down.
So I shoved.