Originally Posted by ShoTyme
Then you're playing out of your roll. If it was a game you were properly rolled for would you make the same decision? Probably not. That's why you don't play games you're not comfortable playing.
Well, obviously I don't have the BR for playing the WSOP ME if [in my example] it takes me 3 years, but this isn't about BRM. I don't think a lot of the players that play the WSOP ME are properly rolled to play the game. I mentioned in my first post, losing 10K is no the issue, so the money has no affect on my decision to fold.
Like I said, mathematically the call is correct and I agree with the math. However, given the question, I'm looking at it from my POV as who I am now. I'm not rich and deciding to play the WSOP is a huge and probably a once in a lifetime deal. My edge at the game would be so small, that I'm very likely playing for the experience with the hope of running deep more than anything else. So, I would feel that risking all the time spent saving, sacrificing, planning, set-backs, etc to get to the WSOP ME would not be worth me risking for a double on the first hand. Especially if I feel like that a double doesn't necessary increase my edge over the field. So, I'm not really gaining much but risking a lot more. Given that we're very deep stacked and blinds last 2 hours (i think), there will be plenty of opportunities as the game progresses. The only hand I call an all-in here in this situation is AA.
If I was properly rolled, would I make the same decision? Of course not, because there would be a lot less planning and saving needed to play the WSOP ME, so that factor would have less of a impact on my decision. I can just take another shot next year and the year after, etc. That's not something I can do now. If I was properly rolled, the WSOP ME would be just one of many big MTTs I would be playing.