Ok, Ok...here are the EXACT amounts, sorry.
Originally Posted by Poker Orifice
huh? How does he raise/fold (for info. or however you put it) when you say villain has 2.3mill with blinds at 400k/800k?
(I'd assume same for the next hand... if blinds actually were that large.. he can't 3bet/fold pre.. that'd be ridiculous).
Not knocking Mike Sexton's ability & accomplishments but when listening to his analysis on WPT final tables, he's often suggesting some pretty bad advice.
You are correct, I am wrong. The blinds were not at 400/800; Sorry! I was watching another game on T.V. while writing that; My loose approximations were a little too loose....
One more time...and this time I got it;
Ante:25k Blinds: 125k/250k
Volpe 12,950,000 (51 BB's)
Klann 2,550,000 (10 BB's)
Volpe first to act, 125k to call; Looks at 10-9 off, shoves.
Klann looks down at AJ, calls.
Had Volpe raised to 500k, Klann would be forced to either fold or shove. You can't simply flat call a raise with 10 Big Blinds. So, if he shoves, you can fold and only lose 500k, only giving Klann a 3 million and change stack. No major increase, your short stacked opponent is still short stacked. The point is that 10-9 off is not strong enough for a (possible, if he calls) 2.5 million bet, even with this chip lead. You do not want to double the guy up. Plus, this is just prior to a level change, blinds are going up next hand.
Ante:50k Blinds: 150k/300k
Volpe 8,950,000 (29 BB's)
Klann 6,550,000 (26 BB's)
Klann first to act, (K-10 off) min raise to 600k.
Volpe (J9 suited) shoves all in.
Again, no need to do anything other than to call or 3-bet here. What would Klann raise with? He is not a pro. If he had a hand worse than J9, he folds to a 3-bet. A better hand will shove. A middle hand will just call. You lose all that info by shoving. You lose the opportunity to outplay Klann on the flop. Some might say calling this all in w K-10 was bad; I say, clearly your opponent has a very wide shoving range, he has shown this all night long
. No reason to suspect he is holding an ace. If he were, wouldn't he simply raise? At this point, I think Volpe has a clear betting tell; He shoves with middle-weak hands IP and raises with strong hands. Weak-weak hands he calls or folds. He has played almost every hand like this the whole FT, not just HU.
Ante:50k Blinds: 150k/300k
Volpe, first to act, shoves it with (again) 9-10. Again, what must Klann be thinking? Well, Q-high can only lose to A or K high. Has Volpe once, one time, shown up with anything higher than a J when he shoved preflop? Nope. So, he calls. Sure enough, the betting tell holds up. In position, Volpe shoves middle range hands. That simple.
Say what you will about Sextons view on the guys play, this time I think he was spot on. As for Klann, 1 donkey lotto move, maybe
you just tried. 2 donkey lotto moves, maybe
you are playing donkey lotto with mid range hands. 3 donkey lotto moves, glad I called with Q high suited, because you are clearly
playing donkey lotto with middle range hands.