views on this hand?

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indahood193

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http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/5410549_6ED52C3DE3

i accidentally signed up for this $55 mtt, was planning on using my $55 T money for the Big $55 later on but was playing already, after not going great this morning i forgot to unreg from this after logging off haha. got a tiny field as well only 44 atm haha.

anyway, this hand i thought was kind of interesting. i chop a lot. with almost all Aces, and some ofc have redraws on me. this is probably the best scenario for me here. if it was lower stakes i might think he just had K Q with Q of diamonds or something stupid and might shove. but here i thought his range was AK (although don't think it could be due to sizing as he would be worried about flush and most likely just check raise all in) but most likely KK. his bet sizing on the flop is slightly above 1/2 pot, which seems to me that he is slightly worried about the flush. yet when the 2 comes on the turn to pair the board and he check raise, it looks so strong. thinking of it now i reckon the only hand he has here is KK and ofc correctly putting me on an A. if he goes bet bet he doesn't get all the chips in and his small re raise is almost wanting me to call with any A or f/d. what do you guys think?

and yeah perhaps a bit of a loose call pre but good suited A in position can't fold that haha.
 
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nax

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Hmm, I think the hand you've posted is wrong. It shows how K7s beats your set of Aces :eek:... or am I missing something ?
 
Poker Orifice

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What tourney is this? with only 1500 chip starting stacks it looks more like a 9man sng.
I check behind on turn.
 
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indahood193

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What tourney is this? with only 1500 chip starting stacks it looks more like a 9man sng.
I check behind on turn.

$55 mtt with no gaurantee, has a v small field. yeah could do but not too keen on giving a free card for him to hit a potential flush when it looks as if he is giving up anyway.
 
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aznman08

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I probably would just take the free card. He could be doing this with diamonds, any A. I find it a bit early in the tournament to start playing for stacks in this scenario. 1500 ss seems bit low for a $55 buy in
 
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indahood193

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I probably would just take the free card. He could be doing this with diamonds, any A. I find it a bit early in the tournament to start playing for stacks in this scenario. 1500 ss seems bit low for a $55 buy in

yeah that is true. could be doing this with a diamond i suppose. and yeah it is i didn't mean to play it was annoying because could have got so much better value using the $55T for the Bigger/ Biggest $55 over this weekend with double the starting chips and a softer field.
it's the $55 nl holdem @ 8.30 ET on PS if you have any doubts :)
only a couple of tournaments stars with 1500 chips, think there's a $27.50 500 cap that starts later on at night as well, can't think of any more off the top of my head bar sng mtt's etc of course.
 
okeedokalee

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Check behind on turn, if river is checked, check back.You are in a tough spot with a hand which may or may not be best.Should your opponent make a reasonable sized river bet call, but don't expect to win every time and definitely don't raise a river bet by opponent.
 
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AlParu

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Your half pot bet looked like value bet for Q or J of dimonds, so he put you on flush draw and check raised. If he had KK, I presume he would just call your bet on turn and bet half pot on any off suit card on the 5th street and 2/3 or pot size on any dimond, in order to get more value. I suppose he had AQs or AKo, nevertheless you were underdog with your AJ.
 
naruto_miu

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I'd honestly check turn, and call any river bet (assuming it's callable).
 
jaworek1405

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With AJs I prefer call pre flop. Sometimes, but not often I could 3bet him ~150-160 pre flop. After the flop call. The turn, I agree with most of guys - check is the best option, because board is paired and FD possible, and I want to see a free card here.
The river - call in most cases, I only wonder what to do when diamond comes on the board, then i can fold here.
 
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rumsey182

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what stats did you have on UTG opener? flatting is fine clearly but if you know the guy is aggro from lots of positions 3 betting small seems fine to me as well

as others have said you likely need to check back the turn, i don't hate betting but you basically need to know he has like k10 type hands in his range and opened pretty wide and has a high % cbet to have enough Kx in his range to call bc unless he is a maniac he likely isnt holding A8 or lower so there are not a lot of Ax type hands to extract value from

also the 3 diamond texture is just a situation where you risk getting exploited by an aggressive player who is c/r like a single diamond type hand and he likely has enough hands in his range to "turn them into a bluff" but i don't love that term but it is basically what he is doing so ill roll with it
 
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indahood193

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thanks for all the replies. almost 100% of the time in this situation i would bet the turn, assuming i didn't have say A J with the J of diamonds or ofc the A of diamonds. but after originally being reluctant to check in this situation i can see where you all are coming from and actually quite like a check now. even though it can give him the chance of getting a free card and hitting a flush, it also avoids me from getting blown off a chop/ blown off the hand by a semi bluff. was playing in a turbo last week, think it was the $16.50 one and i seen a very good tournament player 'Scarer' check back with Ax on an Axxx 3 hearts board, he didn't seem worried about potentially allowing his opp a free card and to make their flush but more to keep the pot small and shut down any crazy bluffs. 4th heart came on river and went check check. if he does this sort if thing then i am sure i can encorporate it too :)
 
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indahood193

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what stats did you have on UTG opener? flatting is fine clearly but if you know the guy is aggro from lots of positions 3 betting small seems fine to me as well

as others have said you likely need to check back the turn, i don't hate betting but you basically need to know he has like k10 type hands in his range and opened pretty wide and has a high % cbet to have enough Kx in his range to call bc unless he is a maniac he likely isnt holding A8 or lower so there are not a lot of Ax type hands to extract value from

also the 3 diamond texture is just a situation where you risk getting exploited by an aggressive player who is c/r like a single diamond type hand and he likely has enough hands in his range to "turn them into a bluff" but i don't love that term but it is basically what he is doing so ill roll with it

good analysis :) nah i don't use HUD i had/ still have Holdem Manager 2 but it doesn't work, the stats are all wrong and some of the players the HUD won't even show up next to them. also the graph is totally wrong. wouldn't mind getting it working but hasn't for about 4 months. thanks for replying deff agree with what you say here.
 
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