T
The_Pup
Rock Star
Silver Level
In my favourite MTT (Stars' $10 with ten minute blind increases) the number of players left halves every hour to a very reliable degree. In turbo MTTs the half life is 30 minutes. I find this helps give me a sense of where we are in the tournament - for example, if there are 1000 people left and the bubble is at 500 then I know we will be there in an hour, or six blind increases. By definition this means that the average stack will double in that hour. So, if I am sitting comfortably with an average stack then I know that in order to maintain my position I will have to double up in the next hour - which is about 100 hands.
Knowing the rate of decay of the tourney can also help with short stack decisions - if one is minded to just make the money, then knowing we will be there in, say, fifteen minutes will tell us whether we will have to shove with one of the next 25 hands just to survive, or whether we can scrape through without reraising all in with A8o.
Does anyone else use half life information in this way? And who has developed it to a more refined degree?
Knowing the rate of decay of the tourney can also help with short stack decisions - if one is minded to just make the money, then knowing we will be there in, say, fifteen minutes will tell us whether we will have to shove with one of the next 25 hands just to survive, or whether we can scrape through without reraising all in with A8o.
Does anyone else use half life information in this way? And who has developed it to a more refined degree?