Originally Posted by LizaBuv
I have been recently learning more about Daniel N (Small Ball Strategy). From a past post it appears most people disagreed with my 9Ts open raise from MP.
There is a chance I am overdoing it with the strategy as I am excited about utilizing it in my game. Question is, how should I play my suited connectors with this small ball strategy. Should I be only waiting for LP or is there a time for them to be played from EP and MP as well.
When answering, please consider the fold equity I have. ex: Pot with both blinds and antes is 2650 and I open for around 2 and a half time the big blind 2250. Risking 2250 to win 2650 because of the antes...Liza
The main problem with raising out of position, like from MP, is the pure amount of players behind you that have the opportunity to call you. Playing postflop is incredibly difficult from out of position, especially if you do not know the players you're up against inside and out (and usually in an online MTT...you really don't know much). Sure, we can consider raising and c-betting when the flop comes haggard...but what if he calls us? Does that mean he has a superior hand and we need to give up? Not really. Players often call there with overcards, or gutshot draws, or really anything if they have any hopes of trying to "outplay" you on the turn. So in a sense, our c-bet cost us even more money into a pot we didn't necessarily need to be in, and we still haven't learned very much about our opponents hand.
When you're raising from MP (lets say there's still 3 players between you and the button) you've got to assume these players have a certain calling range. We can use HUD stats and their stack size to help us with that assessment...but the average unknown player is going to be calling at least 10-15% of hands in position there. Add it all up and subtract a little bit for various math factors and you've got approximately 28%-42% that someone is going to call you and have position on you. We also must account for the times where someone reraises us in position...and then the chances that a blind plays back at us...and so on. It's just such a dangerous play unless we have gathered a ton of intel on our opponents and know that they are going to be calling a bit tighter than 10%.
That all being said, I LOVE small ball. Being a skillful postflop player, it adds a ton of equity to my overall game if I'm in the pot mixing it up on the flop. But...I do it from position. Why? I'll have a greater chance of having position on my opponents, should they decide to enter the pot with me.