This is a discussion on Rivered a set with short stack - Value bet or Showdown? within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Poker section; SB stack: 32,000 chips
HJ stack: 56,000 chips
CO (Hero) stack: 23,000 chips
*** PRE-FLOP ***
CO (Hero): raises
*** RIVER ***
Hero: bets 6,000 (I bet to get paid by weak aces, tens, and possible two pairs not wanting to lead into a straight.)
SB: raises to 18,000
Hero: calls (In my mind, there aren't enough hands he could have to fold to and player is capable of shoving two pair as a bluff even with the short stack sizes. He's been active and has been bluffed out of hands with air balls on the river. He might be fighting back as he just hero-called with bottom pair.)
Is the pre-flop size too small? Is shoving 28 BBs better?
When the turn checks through, is shoving, betting, or checking the best play?
When the river checks through, is taking the showdown or value-betting better? If the doesn't come then we definitely go to showdown.
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March 24th, 2018 12:05 AM
March 3rd, 2019, 2:51 PM
Join Date: Feb 2019
Online Poker at: Pokerstars
Game: Texas Holdem
I think the size of the pre flop raise is correct. The hand was damaged from the flop. Those three cards won 88 easily. At that time I would not have bet against two rivals and with 3 possible cards that exceeded my hand, a project of color and a possible 8 on the table that instead of benefiting left open a straight to 6.7 or J, Q. Without taking anything from the other two players your odds after the flop were 33.2% and a good time to "check" and see how the rivals acted. On the river you pay well because you have an 88.4% chance of winning the hand. Bad luck!