This is a discussion on Risk in MTT - Big scores within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Poker section; Hi guys,
I would like your opinion on the following.
Let's say you are in the late stage of a MTT, low to medium buy in, maybe
Let's say you are in the late stage of a MTT, low to medium buy in, maybe a series with more than 2000 people.
You have TT on the in the button or SB or BB and 30 to 40 BB.
Let's say that UTG raise to 2.5BB, one guy in middle position 3Bet's him, both having very tight ranges (both being regs). At this moment you realize that you are an underdog, with roughly 25% equity in the pot, and you need to win at least 30% in order to BE.
Do you ever consider to shove in this -EV spot? When you win, you will take the chip lead with great chances to make it in the top 3. It is a very high variance move but you can hit a very big score.
Of course, in high stake game you may shove this because you may be a favorite.
Sure a shove is considered in this spot. However you are basically praying to get lucky. Are you trying to get lucky or would you like to wait for a better spot? A flat call may be wrong here.
November 21st, 2017, 10:06 PM
Join Date: Feb 2014
Poker at: pokerstars
re: Poker & Risk in MTT - Big scores
i think is a fold and you must preserve de chips because u face a raise from EP from a tight players and if he is position aware he will do this thing with a tight range, also another player with a tight range 3 bet's. That mean trouble my friend and i think u must have a superstrong hand to continue. U gonna be a big underdog or a little favorite.Best case scenario: fold and take another spot. i would shove only with reads. Call is a bad idea because of the miss implied odds and bad flop texture when the flop shows overcards vs hero.
November 21st, 2017, 11:12 PM
Join Date: Sep 2013
Tx guys. I know that is a -EV call, but as I was mentioning, it's high variance, but when you win you will make it to the final table. Also you will have more than 100BB and most probably you will have also the chip lead.