re: Poker & The "Please Don't Call Me" raise on the river
to me....if I bet the river and they raise me that is extremely polarizing to their hand. They are either bluffing
or have a monster. If they have a medium strength hand they just call your bet most of the time.
This is when I conjure up all my previous memories of how this villain has played other rivers (whether or not it was against me).
Has this player bluffed the river in the past? Are there busted draws that make sense here? How much does this player bet on the river when he has it?
Generally it is hard to make a monster, so they are going to be bluffing a lot of the time...of course that is dependent on your player read.
Harrington says even the most straightforward players bluff 10% of the time...I guess just use all your available info to assign this villain a bluff % and if it seems favorable to call..then call. The more active the opponenet has been, the trickier he seems, the more difficulty I've had in the past putting him on a hand, the more likely I am to just close my eyes and call and hope I'm right. The more straightforward and TAG the player has been, the more likely I am to fold. Even if you call and lose you will learn something about the player..