To Bluff or Not to Bluff?
When you start betting heavily on this board you are basically turning your equity into a bluff. This is why you need to thing ahead; if he calls, what do you do on the turn; if he shoves all-in, do you fold?
100% agree.
I'd bet there. Even if someone has the K, it often stops them from betting as hard, and you'll probably get a chance to see the turn at least. A little birdy told me that anyway
Same thoughts with a donk bet in 1st position.
If betting here we are instantly making a decision to take this down with no less than a double barrel.
If the 3 other players all limped in - we might be safe assuming none of them have a strong King, but it's likely at least one of them has a King.
So we are saying we have a strong King by betting here, or possibly a set.
If our assumption is wrong and we get 3bet (say 3x our initial bet) what do we do? What if after that - another 4x re-raises? Easy fold in that spot.
Leading isn't the worst thing here - but - we have to bet appropriately and are either
bluffing with a double barrel saying our imaginary King is stronger than anyone elses, our set beats everyone, or we are hoping to improve to something that beats top pair strong kicker.
If we miss on the turn - we check - we are bet into? fold, call or re-raise?
I play hands like these by betting 1 BB because this will make bad hands fold and the opponent with the K would normally raise 2 BB, I know it's a weird method but it works for me most of the time.
You and 500,000 other players use this weak move. It is 100% telling what you are holding and allows your opponents to play mistake
free poker against you.
Only about 0.05% of min-betters can resist increasing the bet size when you have a better hand. If you can resist this temptation and min-bet even your strongest hands - you may be able to disguise your stronger hands well, although I have doubts.
No disrespect, just pointing out this is a weak overall strategy.
How do you react to 4x raises every time you min-donk-bet?
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