Good Situation Gone Wrong?
This hand occurred this past Saturday at a local 12pm $200 event – I thought I played it well but wanted to see if anyone else thought so.
This event had 30 minutes levels, $30K starting stacks, and was already into Level 5 when I entered. I played for almost 2 whole hours before being busted in Level 7.
Level 7 ($100/$400/$800 – $23K Stack)
I was in the big blind with
UTG+1 limped in for $800 (I thought to be a pretty solid player), four other players limped as well, the small blind completed the bet, I checked my option (really, I don’t see any other option), and 7 of 10 players went to the flop.
Pot - $6,600
I didn’t hate that flop and besides the flush draw, immediately thought the 3 was nice. I felt I could represent that 3 easily having come in blind and checked my option. The small blind checked and I elected to check and reevaluate the action – I may raise here if the conditions are right.
The UTG+1 player bet $2,300 in a very stern/fearful way and I immediately thought mid-range pocket pair, 77-99, for his range, and believed that range was consistent with his actions to date. Everyone folded back around to me in the big blind.
I thought of raising, as I said earlier, but decided to call instead. For one, I have 12 outs if I’m right about his range, and he has given me the correct pot odds
– it’s close, but I’m good 24% of the time and he’s giving me basically 4:1; plus I can still represent that 3 if a club doesn’t hit the turn.
Pot – $11,200
I checked here with the sole intention of check raising my opponents’ almost certain bet. He bet $7500. I 3-bet shoved my remaining stack ($19,900).
He immediately started talking to himself – “Man, do you really have a 3?” among several other things while he tanked for a good minute. Finally, he said, “screw it, I call” and rolled
Pot - $51K
I felt I played this hand well. I can’t figure out how we got there with JJ in early position, but we did; he let 7 people take a flop and then got married to an over pair on a paired board. I didn’t think he was that strong, but I wasn’t far off and it really doesn’t change much about the hand – he likely would have called with 99 too.
Equilab has me slightly ahead of his range, on the flop (50.18%/49.82%):
I think I like this; hmm – thoughts?