re: Poker & Facing shove at bubble time - with a twist
Originally Posted by vegasjj
I do also believe that in the situation - a shove would have been the right play with any semi-decent hand. However - an alternate strategy would be to try and sit back and hope and pray that one of the other 2 short stacks will get eliminated first. Also in this case the "big stack" was only apx. 2 times larger then the short stack so chip positions can get reversed real fast. Any comments?
Well do you want to hope and pray or do you want to play cards? One of my check points before "making a move" is asking myself if I am just hoping or am I actually playing with some sort of skill and strategy?
The popular theory is everyone is on guard at this stage and the aggressor has a great opportunity to pull away from the pack. For example you thought AQs was not strong enough to move all in with - the aggressor's will take all your money a blind at a time. So let's say you are okay with this because the same is happening to another short stack. But then all of a sudden that other short stack goes all in with AJ and the big stack figures he has to call to end this with his KJ (all a very likely scenario). Now the other shorty just doubled up and all hungry eyes are on you.
But honestly - they have done studies on what you propose and they have found that 40% of the time, it works all of the time. (it's a joke)
Here's the bottom line on poker play strategy - play the opposite of the table. If everyone else is unwilling to be aggressive then you really need to step up and become the predator. Your cards are practically of no consequence - the fact that the rest of table is going uber-conservative to protect their stack is an invitation to rape and pillage to put yourself into a safer position among the chip leaders.
Also I think you need to straighten out your preflop play. 6-handed, AQs is a MONSTER - no gray area whatsoever.