EV

Ok. Im really trying to rap my head around the whole ev equation.


EV=F(P)+(1-F)[W(P+B)-(1-W)B]

F=Probability opponent folds
P=potsize prior to bet
B=bet size
W=probabilty hero wins.


My question:

How do we figure out the probabilty of opponent folding.

Question 2:

How do we figure out the probability of hero winning.

I understand question 1 might answer question 2 because obviously everytime villian folds we win.

How does this equation differ with more then one villain.


Thanks in advance for feedback

No one can help?

If only einstein was alive...Or nostradamus for that matter

nostradamus would just predict the outcome of puker not all the math stuff

The probability of someone folding isn't an exact science, more of a "Guesstimate". What you can do firstly though, it put the guy on a range, let's say, A6+ 22+ K10S+. Ok out of what hands will this particular player call a 3b shove with? now im not going to bother with stack size or all that shit. Just think next time, what kind of hands he will call with, and what he is likely to fold. That is where your read at the table is really helpful.

Now im not to sure on this, im not a math guy, but probability of hero winning can be done using "poker stove" punch in your opponants range, vs your hand, and that should give you your answer. Again, don't really know for sure. that's what i would use. Except, say villian is on that range above, but hes only calling with JJ+ AQs+ thats the range i would use, against my own hand, to determine probability of winning (SOMEONE CORRECT ME PLEASE!! )

More than one villian.. who knows..

WiZZiM said:

The probability of someone folding isn't an exact science, more of a "Guesstimate". What you can do firstly though, it put the guy on a range, let's say, A6+ 22+ K10S+. Ok out of what hands will this particular player call a 3b shove with? now im not going to bother with stack size or all that shit. Just think next time, what kind of hands he will call with, and what he is likely to fold. That is where your read at the table is really helpful.

Now im not to sure on this, im not a math guy, but probability of hero winning can be done using "poker stove" punch in your opponants range, vs your hand, and that should give you your answer. Again, don't really know for sure.

Click to expand...

I'm not sure about the equation. It's kinda like having a scientific calculator- just punch in your numbers and Pokerstove spits it out. Don't get wrapped up in the math though-remember you are playing people, not computers. Part of figuring out if an opponent will fold or not depends on you..your reads and how he reacts to your bets/raises/folds.