Originally Posted by loopmeister
You're not coinflipping taking 50% to quadruple up.
It's one thing to give up small edges early, but giving up AA early is always giving up a HUGE edge.
Your $/hr will be better busting out first hand of a $1 tourney taking a very favourable gamble rather than playing 3 hrs to mincash.
OK, bear with me here. This is an important concept for me because I play very
tightly, maybe too much so, at the start of these big, low-entry tournaments.
It seems like you're applying ring-game thinking to a tournament scenario. The situation as described IS a coin flip... for your tournament life. There's a 50% chance (or better) that you will not
play hand two. What does it matter that you were getting good, or even great, odds
to call if there's a 3/5 chance you'll be eliminated and have NO chance to cash? Every pro I've ever seen talk on the subject says to avoid coin flips early in a large tournament; their point is always that you have to stay alive to thrive.
I realize that a dollar isn't significant to many posters, but a lot of us playing in these big donkaments are trying to build a bankroll. I use tournament tickets for entries, hoping to turn them into cash. The $ return/hour isn't an issue here. A cash, even a min cash, is important!