re: Poker & Coincidental 3000th post - WiZZiM reviews a donkey's STT video
Ok here's my views on some of the hands. Watched about half the vid and made notes. These are the views of a very tight player early on so maybe you won't agree with what I got to say.
33 in BB - fold due to bad implied odds
. 80 is too big to call also and you're not showing any pre flop strength, and so it'd be hard to bluff at the pot on later streets, so you will usually only win 11% of the time.
AQ in CO - This is a tricky spot and i'd probably also call my process of elimination (i'd like advice on this play too).
Folding is pretty tight and you could well be dominating him or atleast be 25% against even KK, so seeing a flop is favourable.
3-betting would allow you to narrow his range and maybe avoid tricky post flop decisions, but IMO it's a bit spewy and we don't need to risk chips this early in the SNG.
Call - by process of elimination. Re-evaluate after the flop being weary of sets and AK if super agression is shown.
33 - you limped UTG+1, but i think this should be a fold instead.
77 UTG - folding this. We're still 8 or 9 handed (cant remember) with low blinds. UTG low blinds we should only really be opening premiums like QQ-AA AK AQs (JJ depending on table)
JJ UTG - this is a tricky spot too. Limping is out of the question, but you have to think would you call a shove if you raised? (probably not) Would you call a 3-bet? If so, how big. etc
Also raising UTG will usually get callers with broadways, and so if you do flop the overpair, villian would have totally missed the flop and your chance of a big pot isn't there. So IMO the implied odds of even one caller isn't that great either. Thoughts appreciated on this hand though.
JQs in HJ - good fold.
A5 in CO - for my personal game, i wouldn't steal. I'm pretty risk averse in low blind stages and I think blinds were 25/50. This isn't really enough to want to steal (correct me if i'm wrong). However
, with the BB sitting out, I would steal with a wide range (30 - 40%) as its the BB you have to worry about calling (if SB or BTN call, it's easier to leave the hand and spew less chips as they probably have an OK hand). So in this exact spot i'd also steal.
8 10o - you considered min raising but IMO that looks really weak. If someone min raises my BB I sometimes raise back BIG, or float the flop to take it away on the turn. Yes, they could be trapping, but it's rare and seems to work for me.
QKs in SB - I thought that hand was a good chance to re-steal. Firstly, there is over half your stack (450) in the pot already and you have a solid hand with good showdown value. Button has only min-raise a limper in position, and so no real aggression has been shown by any player
. However I don't know if you have much fold equity over the big stack, who only needs to pop in another 700 to call you. So it's marginal, but I think i'd take the risk here when you've only got 9BB anyway.
QJs - good fold on BTN
99 - I'd bet into that flop. If someone calls or re-raises, you're likely beat and can leave the hand (can't remember stack sizes, maybe if your short this isnt a good idea).
K9s in CO - All i've written is "ship it". Can't remember stack sizes etc but I think you've gotta shove a hand this strong here with 5(?) BB's.
88 - I think this is a fold. You're flipping at best against over cards and probably dominated by an overpair. Ax (x < 9) is unlikely as the shove is UTG+1 and its not a great place to shove that kinda hand.
AK - definitely call that all in. At worst your flipping and if you loose you will still have an OK stack size. At best (and more likely) you have him dominated (K10+ A9+) is a wide range of hands you crush and if you win you'll be big stack and can aggress on the bubble and probably win if played correctly.
KQ with a min raise UTG by a loose player. Although you have no FE I think this is a spot to gamble as you are very short and UTG is opening wide (IMO). Pop it in pokerstove