debriz
Rock Star
Silver Level
What is the maximum period of time always losing/bust out if you always gamble all-in coin flip situation preflop? Let's say in pokerstars..
What are you asking? How many coin flips you can lose in a row? If that's the question, the answer is theoretically infinite, you might lose every coin flip you ever have.
It all depends on how large your sample size is. Over a larger sample size, you can expect it to be near 50/50.
Lets take a coin and flip 100,000 times. At the end, the number of heads vs tails should be pretty equal. It might not be exactly 50/50, but close enough...say 49/51.
Now, if we take that same coin and flip it only 100 times, it may not come as close to 50/50. It may be 60/40 or even 70/30. Lets say it's 70% heads, it doesn't mean that heads is going to come up more often than tails, it just means your sample size is too low to get it exact.
So, to answer your question: there is no exact number but over time, if you are in 50/50 situations, your win/lose with balance out. Busting out of 10 tournaments (for example) in 50/50 situations is nothing. Just because it's 50/50 doesn't mean you're going to win 5 flips, lose 5 flips. It's not how it works.
this
if not want to gamble then avoid high variance plays.
not sure what you mean... over time it will be 50/50, but you can still lose 10 in a row or more, it can happen. The funny thing about variance is that the more you play, the more variance you are likely to expect to see, relative to your skill level and edge in the games you play.
I mean getting bust out in a tournament usually happen near to bubble, Pokerstars give you a better hand/premium hand, especially AK suited or QQ because if you will not gamble it, more probably you didn't get into ITM. I mean it's my 4 days now playing MTT close to bubble having not a good stack so no choice but to gamble to double or triple up with huge blinds. That's why I'm confused if how long is the maximum time or days playing MTT that Pokerstars always put you in a losing part of coin flip. I'ts my 4 days now not getting into ITM because of the coinflip. I can't count the number of tourneys but so many..If I'm AK,..QQ,JJ,TT or pocket numbers will bust me out. If I'm QQ and lower pockets always lost with AK..We all know poker is vice versa, you don't always lose especially you did a right play. That's why I asked in my OP, if how long or what is the maximum time/days will Pokerstars will put you in a losing part of coin flip..So if it will take a month for me always lose coin flips so no more wonder why..atleast I'm aware already
I mean getting bust out in a tournament usually happen near to bubble, Pokerstars give you a better hand/premium hand, especially AK suited or QQ because if you will not gamble it, more probably you didn't get into ITM. I mean it's my 4 days now playing MTT close to bubble having not a good stack so no choice but to gamble to double or triple up with huge blinds. That's why I'm confused if how long is the maximum time or days playing MTT that Pokerstars always put you in a losing part of coin flip. I'ts my 4 days now not getting into ITM because of the coinflip. I can't count the number of tourneys but so many..If I'm AK,..QQ,JJ,TT or pocket numbers will bust me out. If I'm QQ and lower pockets always lost with AK..We all know poker is vice versa, you don't always lose especially you did a right play. That's why I asked in my OP, if how long or what is the maximum time/days will Pokerstars will put you in a losing part of coin flip..So if it will take a month for me always lose coin flips so no more wonder why..atleast I'm aware already
Sometimes construction does 10 hour shifts.
above.If your the shortest stack for example your near to bubble with 4k/8k blinds you have 9k left/1BB, your in button position holding AK clubs then MP raises to 3BB, cut off call, is there no choice here but to gamble with 1BB left and might triple up or bust out and not get into ITM?
...This is an easy call with this hand for just 1BB to get little better than a triple up, especially if there are antes. You're still short stack with ~4BBs, but now if you double up again, you're at ~10BBs (antes + blinds included). This is a lot better situation than if you hand folded the AKs, won a coin flip a few hands later and were only at ~3BBs or less. You'd still have a huge mountain to climb with your short stack.
There's very little difference if you busted out the previous hand with AKs or the next hand, but giving up a great spot with AKs to triple up would be a bad decision. When you're short stack, it's about picking your spots to get your money in.
let's say MP has tens, cut off has Jacks...this usually happens in late game, busting out time with big hands/coin flip situation. You always regret if you lose that hand and busted out and thinking your decision is not right to gamble coinflip situation. Let say its a big buy-in tourney..
...There should be no regret for getting your money in with one of the best hands you can possibly get. If you had AA and lost, do you still regret getting your money in? If you said yes, then I think you should stop playing or really think about how bad that type of thinking is. Aside for AA or KK, AKs is a very strong hand to have in 3 way situation. In fact, if you run the numbers, you're about even with the JJ to win preflop. JJ-43.21%,AKs-39.36%, 1010-17.12%. So, you'd rather have this hand, than say 1010 if your opponents had JJ and 99, because you'd only be a 17.89% favorite to win.