Chipleader-late stage-satellite tourneys
I've been playing MTTs(mostly freerolls
) on Pokerstars
for around a month. Today I was playing one of those micromillion satellite events where the top 10 get tickets. I have a habit of imploding during the later stages of tourneys and therefore, I played extra careful. What happens usually is that I'll get into a betting war with the chip leader and go busto on one hand. So this time, I made it a point to keep the pots small and feed off the short stacks rather than tangling with the chip leaders.
Anyway, with 30 players left, I won a major pot and was 2nd in chips with around 1,00,000 chips. Chip leader had around 1000 chips more than me and numbers 3-10 all had more than 60,000. I stuck to my plan of putting pressure on the short stacks but 3 short stacks ended up doubling up through me. All 3 times I had 2 pair and I'd put them all in and they'd hit their straights or flushes on the river.
This left me with around 64k. My final hand would come soon. It folded to me in the SB and I 3-bet with KcJc and BB, who had been re-raising every hand for a while, 5-bet and I called.
Flop came KhJs3c and I shoved because of my recent run of bad showdowns and I wanted to end it on the flop. He had only slightly more chips than me and losing this pot would've crippled him. Yet, he called with AhQh for some reason. And of course he hit his backdoor flush and I busted out in 23rd place. I went from 2nd to busto in the space of a few hands.
Now that I'm done ranting, there are 2 things I want to know :
1) Should I have folded those 2 pairs? I like to play marginal hands throughout the course of a tourney and folding after flopping 2 pair with those hands against people shoving with less than 10BB didn't seem to be a good play to me. I ask this in the context of satellite tourneys btw, where survival is more important than gathering more chips. Which leads me to my next question...
2)Is there some formula to know how many chips would be enough for a top 10 finish? Around 600 people took part in this tournament and the starting stack was 1,500 chips. Based on this, is there some way to know whether my 100k chips would've been enough to guarantee a top 10 finish? That is, in case I'm deep in a satellite tourney like this again, would I be better off simply stealing the blinds with playable hands and avoiding any sort of confrontation so as to maintain my stack at a particular level?
Thanks in advance