5
5bet4fun
Rising Star
Bronze Level
Key factor is: villain is a decent reg with low oop cbet and low flop giveup.
Based on these ^^ i figured he is much more likely to check KQ, QJ, QT on the flop than to cbet them. Also i think my IP raise looks quite scary vs UTG, so i think if he happened to cbet KQ, he folds those on the turn unless he picked up flushdraw.
He can obviously have some KJdd/JTdd-type hands, but those don't matter when we think about valuebetting the river.
So although river looked like a dreamcard for the first sight, i don't think it really is.
Also he was quite nitty, so not sure he opens 44 pre UTG.
I'll win a lot when checked down, but if i bet i'll get action from an AA/AQ/44(50%)/(KdQd(50%)-looking range + very few additional Qx/Ax he may got out of line. :captain:
https://checkdecide.com/hand/869ee101f3674ac680a9690044861b88
Based on these ^^ i figured he is much more likely to check KQ, QJ, QT on the flop than to cbet them. Also i think my IP raise looks quite scary vs UTG, so i think if he happened to cbet KQ, he folds those on the turn unless he picked up flushdraw.
He can obviously have some KJdd/JTdd-type hands, but those don't matter when we think about valuebetting the river.
So although river looked like a dreamcard for the first sight, i don't think it really is.
Also he was quite nitty, so not sure he opens 44 pre UTG.
I'll win a lot when checked down, but if i bet i'll get action from an AA/AQ/44(50%)/(KdQd(50%)-looking range + very few additional Qx/Ax he may got out of line. :captain:
https://checkdecide.com/hand/869ee101f3674ac680a9690044861b88
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