Originally Posted by Flsnookman
I get that aero but imho since your callers are likely to have a better ace you are less likely to be crushed with the one gappers. That said please give more weight to aero as I am a fish just learning the game myself.
If you shove with A6o and only get called by better Aces or pairs, they are folding 85.7% of the time. That alone would make it profitable. But, you also have 31.3% equity when you're called. Truth is, they will be calling much wider than that. Against a person calling with just over 30% of their hands, you have 45.6% equity when called (plus the almost 70% folding equity).
86s, on the other hand has 36.3% equity when called by 22+,A7+ and 37.5% equity against the previous 31.5% calling range. Your fold equity remains the same against both ranges, but you're doing much worse when called.
The other factor to consider, if you are holding an Ace, it is 25% less likely that your opponent has a better Ace than if you are holding 86s.
I know that it feels
like they always have a better Ace, when you get called by one. But, it's just not true. Obviously, you want to be the first in the pot and in as late of position as possible (fewer people to fold is better for you), but don't be wantonly folding A-x hands, when your stack gets low, because you're worried about better Aces.