Bwammo
DragTheBar Coach
Silver Level
I bet a lot...way more than the typical profitable player would suggest or even imagine possible. Not only am I betting incredibly frequently, but my sizing is usually far less than that of what is considered standard. I promise I'm not insane though! There's certainly a method to my madness, but in order to understand this we've got to break down exactly what a bet is.
Betting in poker is often misunderstood. People are often betting too much or too little because they are not sure as to what their bets are supposed to mean. In general, a bet is a proposition that something either will or will not occur. Sports bettors are betting with or against the chances their team will cover the spread. Lottery bettors are betting against the minute chance that they will strike it rich. Craps players are betting with or against the chances that their desired combination of dice will show. In poker terms it's usually seen as the chances someone who is behind will catch up, but it can mean so much more.
In my world, bets can be used as a weapon against someone seeing another card, regardless of if we're ahead. In essence, bets are merely draws for me. For example, if I bet 20% of the pot on a bluff, I'm betting against the chances that my opponent stays in to see the next card (here I'd need a 20% success-rate on this bet to break even). The same theory applies to raising. There are certainly other considerations to make, such as how it affects our stack size and the fact that even if we're called we still have a chance to win by either hitting our hand or taking the pot down with another bet. The point I'm getting at is, in poker, we have definite success-rates (you can use Holdem Manager and other tools to create filters that will disclose this information), and if we know how often something is going to happen, we can properly bet against it. Just as we know we must be getting better than 2:1 to make a call for a flush/straight draw due to our 1/3 chances of hitting...betting to create folds and other profitable situations follows the same logic.
My apologies for the briefness of this thread as I'm out of time, am heading to the beach in San Diego (for those who don't know, I'm on a long distance road trip) so if anyone has any questions, don't hesitate to ask. I will respond in my typical long-winded manner
Betting in poker is often misunderstood. People are often betting too much or too little because they are not sure as to what their bets are supposed to mean. In general, a bet is a proposition that something either will or will not occur. Sports bettors are betting with or against the chances their team will cover the spread. Lottery bettors are betting against the minute chance that they will strike it rich. Craps players are betting with or against the chances that their desired combination of dice will show. In poker terms it's usually seen as the chances someone who is behind will catch up, but it can mean so much more.
In my world, bets can be used as a weapon against someone seeing another card, regardless of if we're ahead. In essence, bets are merely draws for me. For example, if I bet 20% of the pot on a bluff, I'm betting against the chances that my opponent stays in to see the next card (here I'd need a 20% success-rate on this bet to break even). The same theory applies to raising. There are certainly other considerations to make, such as how it affects our stack size and the fact that even if we're called we still have a chance to win by either hitting our hand or taking the pot down with another bet. The point I'm getting at is, in poker, we have definite success-rates (you can use Holdem Manager and other tools to create filters that will disclose this information), and if we know how often something is going to happen, we can properly bet against it. Just as we know we must be getting better than 2:1 to make a call for a flush/straight draw due to our 1/3 chances of hitting...betting to create folds and other profitable situations follows the same logic.
My apologies for the briefness of this thread as I'm out of time, am heading to the beach in San Diego (for those who don't know, I'm on a long distance road trip) so if anyone has any questions, don't hesitate to ask. I will respond in my typical long-winded manner
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