Is this a correct raise shove on the bubble

jgreenman18

jgreenman18

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Winning Poker Network Game #659465004: No Limit Holdem (75/150) [2016/06/13 02:40:36 UTC]
Table: $3 Regular 9-Max, Table 1
Tournament: 5308393
Seats: 9
Seat 1: txgb (8,410)
Seat 4: Jgreenwolf (1,140)
Seat 5: Krug_Dawg93 (1,220)
Seat 9: yupbadbeatlol (2,730)
Button is seat 1
Jgreenwolf: posts small blind 75
Krug_Dawg93: posts big blind 150
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Jgreenwolf: dealt [As Qs]
yupbadbeatlol: raises 450
txgb: folds
Jgreenwolf: raises all-in 1,065
Krug_Dawg93: folds
yupbadbeatlol: calls 690
*** FLOP *** [6d 3h Td]
*** TURN *** [6d 3h Td] [2d]
*** RIVER *** [6d 3h Td] [2d] [Ks]
*** SUMMARY ***
Pot: 2,430 | Rake: 0 |
Board: [6d 3h Td 2d Ks]
 
U

UncleConRon

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My Opinion

It is the correct push shove raise if they expect you of counting. I call it probability poker. Its very important you do this with probability poker. Do not bet after showing the high hand. The probability is you don't have it. They know your bluffing like the loser you are being.
 
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ph_il

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It is the correct push shove raise if they expect you of counting. I call it probability poker. Its very important you do this with probability poker. Do not bet after showing the high hand. The probability is you don't have it. They know your bluffing like the loser you are being.
So, does anyone understand any of this?

Yes, this shove is fine given your stack size, just know that no one is folding after raising 3x the BB UTG and only having to call 690 more to win a pot of 1,740.
 
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roygor

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In my opinion it is to risky to go all in in 4 hand game, i would wait to see the flop most of the times.

I would go all in with big pair pre flop.
 
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WiZZiM

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this is actually a pretty complex bubble spot. We need more info about the original raiser and what the range of the BB is likely to be if we fold, or, how often he will get his hand in if we fold.

it seems really close either way, but i'm leaning towards a nitty fold.

but this spot is definitely best anwered with a well modelled ICM calculator. Any info about likely ranges would help here..
 
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