ATo at ~5:15; I raise 4+BBs OOP to discourage action. No c-bet? That's the driest of the driest boards!
He's calling 3% of PFR over 290
hands, I'm being extremely cautious even if I hit my A. Trying to just steal here against 2 very tight opponents. I probably wasn't paying enough attention to see that he had already limped UTG and his VP$IP is only 6%, but the above was my reasoning there.
ChuckTs said:
JJ at 5:45 is kind of a borderline c-bet with two opponents in on that board, but i like the aggression.
Yeah, could have gone either way, but I've seen enough people get scared when there's a multi-way pot. Sucks when I cbet my AA on a flop and all 4 callers fold. Apparently he hit his K though.
[ChuckTs]
KQs at 8:40 I might be inclined to call this shortstacker's push
[/quote]
Really? Especially with the guy behind me still in the hand, I thought this was an easy fold. Most likely seeing at least Ax from a shortstack push, also the stats are relevant. The guy re-raising all-in is calling a PFR 9% (I think it's a 9, if not it's a 3, quality on the video isn't great), and the guy behind me is calling 4% of PF raises. So I'm looking at a top 4% hand still to act and a better than 9% hand (it was a raise, not just a call, although this could also be a
bluff or a vulnerable hand postflop like AK, which coincidentally has me crushed
) all-in. With one all-in already, I lose all my implied odds against him and most against the other guy, since if I hit he'll only call if he hits knowing I have a hand, only an idiot bluffs into an empty pot.
ChuckTs said:
66 shortly after; I raise more with position. Again the 3BB+1BB/limper rule helps a lot in spots like these by way of giving your opponent bad odds to call.
Guess this is a good place to explain my preflop strategy with low to mid PPs. Most of the time I'm raising 3x regardless. I really like these spots because if I get a lot of callers I'm getting good implied odds and if I don't then I can try to steal the pot with a cbet. Once in a while with a ton of limpers I'll flat call in late position or from the blinds and play purely on flopping a set.
I watched your video at 50nl and see you like to try to see cheap flops with low to mid PPs and then the implied odds pay off for you. The problem is that at 10nl a lot of the players are just weak tight-passive players. If the pot's 5-way preflop, and I flop a set, a bet is likely to pick up maybe another player, sometimes I take the pot right then and there. But if I raise there, first of all I figure I'm against better than average hands, which are more likely to bet or call a bet on the flop if I set. If a lot of people call the PFR, I just pray for a set and an A to hit, because you know one or two are calling with A-rag (or even AK), and when he A comes, won't have the discipline to lay it down. When my sets start getting paid off more I'll tend to limp with them a lot more, or raise to try to steal PF, but for now I'm trying to get value out of them PF, with hopefully a few callers, and if I don't get enough callers it's ok, because then a cbet will likely win the pot whether I set or not.
ChuckTs said:
JT at ~11 minutes; I think the pf call was fine. This is hard to give advice on without stats (I still don't understand yours
), but given his betting amounts I think we can usually call this down as it looks like unimproved overcards trying to get a cheapish showdown...this is usually a fold to 3 barrels though.
So you're saying I should fold the 70 cent bet into the $3 pot? I understand what you're saying that I'm probably beat but I have to be right 1 in 6 to make a profit off of this.
In terms of stats, he's seeing 80-something % of flops it looks like and raising 12% calling 38% of preflop raises, but this is all after 8 hands, so basically useless. On a side note though he did succeed in playing this horribly, at least preflop. A minraise with QQ to my 3x PFR?
ChuckTs said:
9Ts at 14:30 I likey. It doesn't seem like much but 3BB is soooo much more inviting that 4 imo. Slightly overbet steals with position is so +EV against these weaklings it's not even funny
lol agreed
Thanks for the comments.